Mithras Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 This work turned out to be very big and I felt like it would be best to post it in parts and see the reactions of people. So, any opinion is well received. “This is no longer a game for two players, if ever it was. Stannis Baratheon and Lysa Arryn have fled beyond my reach, and the whispers say they are gathering swords around them. The Knight of Flowers writes Highgarden, urging his lord father to send his sister to court. The girl is a maid of fourteen, sweet and beautiful and tractable, and Lord Renly and Ser Loras intend that Robert should bed her, wed her, and make a new queen. Littlefinger… the gods only know what game Littlefinger is playing. Yet Lord Stark’s the one who troubles my sleep. He has the bastard, he has the book, and soon enough he’ll have the truth. And now his wife has abducted Tyrion Lannister, thanks to Littlefinger’s meddling. Lord Tywin will take that for an outrage, and Jaime has a queer affection for the Imp. If the Lannisters move north, that will bring the Tullys in as well. Delay, you say. Make haste, I reply. Even the finest of jugglers cannot keep a hundred balls in the air forever.” In AGoT, Arya overhears the dialogue between Varys and Illyrio. We learn that they are involved in a big conspiracy. This is the closest we can get from these two being honest and speaking true. Every other information they give should be analyzed carefully and suspiciously, especially about themselves. Because everybody lies about themselves and these two are grand conspirators, which means they lie tenfold about themselves. Varys says the whole thing was a game for two players at the beginning and then the things got complicated. He mentions all the players and pawns (including those who consider themselves as players). But he does not say a bit about Doran Martell. We know that he is a player and we know that he plays to win (SSM). That is why; I will present Doran as the big player Varys referred at the beginning. Doran’s Game (1st Round) Doran plays to win, whether at cyvasse or the game of thrones. Doran’s main objective is to restore the exiled Targaryens to the IT and lay waste to the murderers of Elia and her children. “For Lord Tywin and the Lannisters you always had the forbearance of Baelor the Blessed, but for your own blood, none.”“You mistake patience for forbearance. I have worked at the downfall of Tywin Lannister since the day they told me of Elia and her children. It was my hope to strip him of all that he held most dear before I killed him, but it would seem his dwarf son has robbed me of that pleasure. I take some small solace in knowing that he died a cruel death at the hands of the monster that he himself begot.” The princess remembered how her father had pressed the onyx cyvasse piece into her palm, his voice hoarse and low as he confessed his plan. A long and perilous voyage, with an uncertain welcome at its end, he had said. He has gone to bring us back our heart’s desire. Vengeance. Justice. Fire and blood. Doran acted in secrecy because had Robert caught the scent of his schemes, he would have come down to Dorne with his warhammer. Doran does not play like that. And I believe Doran used his contacts across the Narrow Sea to keep track of the beggar king and the princess. “Prince Oberyn’s presence here is unfortunate. His brother is a cautious man, a reasoned man, subtle, deliberate, even indolent to a degree. He is a man who weighs the consequences of every word and every action. Tywin is an able politician. His words about Doran should tell us something. And note that whatever he knows about Doran is just a small portion. That means Doran has quite a big pair. These two remarks also prove Doran's mastery in politics. “I never meant her harm,” Arianne insisted. “If Hotah had not interfered...”“...you would have crowned Myrcella queen, to raise a rebellion against her brother. Instead of an ear, she would have lost her life.”“Only if we lost.”“If? The word is when. Dorne cannot hope to win a war against the Iron Throne, not alone.” “My niece Myrcella is in Dorne, as it happens. And I have half a mind to make her a queen.”Illyrio smiled as his serving men spooned out bowls of black cherries in sweet cream for them both. “What has this poor child done to you that you would wish her dead?”“Even a kinslayer is not required to slay all his kin,” said Tyrion, wounded. “Queen her, I said. Not kill her.”The cheesemonger spooned up cherries. “In Volantis they use a coin with a crown on one face and a death’s-head on the other. Yet it is the same coin. To queen her is to kill her. Dorne might rise for Myrcella, but Dorne alone is not enough. If you are as clever as our friend insists, you know this.”Tyrion looked at the fat man with new interest. He is right on both counts. To queen her is to kill her. And I knew that. "But Oberyn has always been half-mad.”“Is it true he tried to raise Dorne for Viserys?”“No one speaks of it, but yes. Ravens flew and riders rode, with what secret messages I never knew. Jon Arryn sailed to Sunspear to return Prince Lewyn’s bones, sat down with Prince Doran, and ended all the talk of war. But Robert never went to Dorne thereafter, and Prince Oberyn seldom left it.” Tywin never knew what messages those ravens and riders carried but I bet Varys knew them, or guessed them with a good certainty. We learn more of these messages later. The parchment was written in the Common Tongue. The queen unrolled it slowly, studying the seals and signatures. When she saw the name Ser Willem Darry, her heart beat a little faster. She read it over once, and then again.“May we know what it says, Your Grace?” asked Ser Barristan.“It is a secret pact,” Dany said, “made in Braavos when I was just a little girl. Ser Willem Darry signed for us, the man who spirited my brother and myself away from Dragonstone before the Usurper’s men could take us. Prince Oberyn Martell signed for Dorne, with the Sealord of Braavos as witness.” She handed the parchment to Ser Barristan, so he might read it for himself. “The alliance is to be sealed by a marriage, it says. In return for Dorne’s help overthrowing the Usurper, my brother Viserys is to take Prince Doran’s daughter Arianne for his queen.” Doran has connections across the Narrow Sea. The Archon of Tyrosh has a close relationship with him. The Archon sent his daughter to the watergardens to play with Arianne. Doran wanted to send Arianne to Tyrosh in return so that she and Viserys could secretly meet. His wife objected to that. “That green-haired girl was the Archon’s daughter. I was to have sent you to Tyrosh in her place. You would have served the Archon as a cupbearer and met with your betrothed in secret, but your mother threatened to harm herself if I stole another of her children, and I... I could not do that to her.” By the way we should note that Doran often uses these kinds of excuses to hide his real intentions. Daughter of the Archon and Arianne swap would hide the secret meeting. All those old men he seemingly tried to marry Arianne were to hide that she was already betrothed. She [Arianne] was lost, confounded. Promised. I was promised. “Who is it? Who have I been betrothed to, all these years?”“It makes no matter. He is dead.”That left her more baffled than ever. “The old ones are so frail. Was it a broken hip, a chill, the gout?”“It was a pot of molten gold. We princes make our careful plans and the gods smash them all awry.” Prince Doran made a weary gesture with a chafed red hand. Varys’ Game (1st Round) On the other hand, Varys and Illyrio are working to install fAegon to the IT. Therefore, they want to overthrow the current regime just like Doran. But there is a problem for them. Doran is going for Viserys and Dany. He would never accept fAegon as long as they exist. For Varys, it is unacceptable to have Dorne as fAegon’s enemies. Not only he needs Dornish spears, but also it is much more important that fAegon should not fight with his uncles and cousins; rather he should be acknowledged and embraced by them. His false claim can never be allowed to be weakened like this. I previously assumed that they know the arrangement made by Oberyn and Darry. So Varys must break it and that he did with an excellent stroke. We should remember that the brother of the Archon of Tyrosh was also present in the party where Illyrio presented Dany to Drogo. Illyrio whispered to them. “Those three are Drogo’s bloodriders, there,” he said. “By the pillar is Khal Moro, with his son Rhogoro. The man with the green beard is brother to the Archon of Tyrosh, and the man behind him is Ser Jorah Mormont.” He noted the “loyalty and generosity” of Illyrio to the exiled Targaryens. But none of them knows the Dothraki or the man Viserys became as well as Illyrio and Varys. The Archon’s brother assumed that Viserys was trying to gather an army to reclaim his father’s throne, so he sold Dany in return to have a mighty Dothraki army. He must have reported all these to Doran. In fact, this marriage plan was planted to Viserys’ head by Illyrio and it was their death sentence. Illyrio played reverse psychology on Viserys and sent him to the Dothraki Sea to die, as well as the weak Dany. Thus, both Targaryens were supposed to perish and Doran would have no option other than fAegon. In that case, it does not matter to him so much whether the boy is false or not. The boy would still give him vengeance and the important seats he desired. The fat man grew pensive. “Daenerys was half a child when she came to me. If truth be told, I did not think Daenerys would survive for long amongst the horselords.”“That did not stop you selling her to Khal Drogo …”“Dothraki neither buy nor sell. Say rather that her brother Viserys gave her to Drogo to win the khal’s friendship. A vain young man, and greedy. Had I not taken the precaution of posting guards upon her door, Viserys might have undone years of planning.”“He sounds an utter fool.”“Viserys was Mad Aerys’s son, just so.” “Illyrio does not play cyvasse.”No, thought the dwarf, he plays the game of thrones, and you and Griff and Duck are only pieces, to be moved where he will and sacrificed at need, just as he sacrificed Viserys. Even if Dany survived, the Westerosi way of thinking would blame her for arranging the death of her brother to claim the IT on her own. The Arianne gift chapter presses hard on this matter. The secret pact that Prince Doran had made all those years called for Arianne to be wed to Prince Viserys, not Quentyn to Daenerys. It had all come undone on the Dothraki sea, when he was murdered. Crowned with a pot of molten gold. "He was killed by a Dothraki khal," said Arianne. "The dragon queen’s own husband.""So I’ve heard. What of it?" "Just… why did Daenerys let it happen? Viserys was her brother. All that remained of her own blood.""The Dothraki are a savage folk. Who can know why they kill? Perhaps Viserys wiped his arse with the wrong hand."Perhaps, thought Arianne, or perhaps Daenerys realized that once her brother was crowned and wed to me, she would be doomed to spend the rest of her life sleeping in a tent and smelling like a horse. "She is the Mad King’s daughter," the princess said. "How do we do know —”"We cannot know," Ser Daemon said. "We can only hope." As a result, Varys won this round and Arianne is running to the welcoming arms of fAegon. Doran’s Game (2nd Round) Now that Viserys is dead, Oberyn is dead, Dany is the queen of Meereen, Doran had to act. And he had to act fast because he was aware of the turmoil Dany created in the slave trade and the Volantene were preparing to put an end to her. So he summoned Quentyn to Watergardens and told him of the old plan. Quentyn was to get Dany and turn back before the Volantene crush her. Varys’ Game (2nd Round) I don’t have any proof of this but since the departure of Quentyn was noted by the orphans in the Planky Town, I assume Varys also learned the secret departure of Quentyn. That can only mean he is going to Dany and Varys cannot allow that. I believe the pirate attack on Quentyn’s ship was under the command of Varys and they were supposed to kill them all. Nonetheless, Quentyn proved to be disappointment and Doran lost this round as well. I am working on Doran's and Varys' next moves, the political situation at Tyrosh, Myr and Lys and any other thing to reveal the dance between Varys and Doran. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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