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Percentage Poll of Possible Future Events


Texas Hold Em

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Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade

  1. Captain Daario is still alive.   50%
  2. Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron.  50%
  3. Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys.  25%
  4. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal.  50%
  5. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay.  75%
  6. Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen.  0%
  7. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause.  100%
  8. Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys.  75%
  9. Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire.  25%
  10. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters.  100%
  11. Daenerys will go to Asshai.   25%
  12. Qaithe is Shiera Seastar   50%

Northern Politics and the White Walkers

  1. Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice.    75%
  2. Jon Snow will come back to life in human form.  100%
  3. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north.  0%
  4. Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave.  100%
  5. Bran ate Jojen.  Jojen is the paste.  50%
  6. Jon will come back as an ice wight.  0%
  7. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander.   0%
  8. Fat Walda births a baby boy.  100%
  9. Theon escapes from Stannis.  50%
  10. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs.   0%

King's Landing and the Riverlands

  1. The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria.  0%
  2. House Darry will rise again.  50%
  3. The Freys execute Edmure Tully.  0%
  4. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners.  0%
  5. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing.  Gregor is wearing Robb's head.  0%
  6. Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's.  100%
  7. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion.  100%
  8. Aegon will conquer King's Landing.  50%
  9. Sandor Clegane is really dead.  0%
  10. Tommen will be killed by Arya.  0%

Dorne and the Reach

  1. Civil war breaks out in Dorne.  Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells.  50%
  2. Leyton Hightower has greyscale,  50%
  3. Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight).  50%
  4. Euron will burn The Citadel.  25%
  5. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side.   75%
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On 8/18/2018 at 5:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said:

It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events.  First, the rules.  Assign a percentage to each possible future event.  A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen.  It does not mean it will, of course.  It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain.  A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening.  

You may only assign the following percentages:

  • 0%
  • 25%
  • 50%
  • 75%
  • 100%

Possible Future Events (PFEs)

Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade

  1. Captain Daario is still alive.   50%
  2. Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron.  75%
  3. Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys.  100%, he already has
  4. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal.  0%, 
  5. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100%
  6. Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen.  50%
  7. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 75%
  8. Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys.  100%
  9. Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire.  50%
  10. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75%
  11. Daenerys will go to Asshai. 75%
  12. Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 0%

Northern Politics and the White Walkers

  1. Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice.  100%
  2. Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 0%
  3. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 100%
  4. Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100%
  5. Bran ate Jojen.  Jojen is the paste.  100%
  6. Jon will come back as an ice wight.  75%
  7. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 100%
  8. Fat Walda births a baby boy. 100%
  9. Theon escapes from Stannis. 0%
  10. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0%

King's Landing and the Riverlands

  1. The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0%, Arya will die and live as a wolf before the end of the books.
  2. House Darry will rise again.  50%
  3. The Freys execute Edmure Tully.  50%
  4. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 75%
  5. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing.  Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 50%
  6. Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100%
  7. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 50%
  8. Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 100%
  9. Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0%
  10. Tommen will be killed by Arya. 75%

Dorne and the Reach

  1. Civil war breaks out in Dorne.  Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells.  100%
  2. Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 25%
  3. Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight).  25%
  4. Euron will burn The Citadel. 0%
  5. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100%

 

 

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On 8/18/2018 at 5:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said:

It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events.  First, the rules.  Assign a percentage to each possible future event.  A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen.  It does not mean it will, of course.  It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain.  A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening.  

You may only assign the following percentages:

  • 0%
  • 25%
  • 50%
  • 75%
  • 100%

Possible Future Events (PFEs)

Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade

  1. Captain Daario is still alive.  100
  2. Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron.  25
  3. Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys.  100
  4. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal.  100
  5. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100
  6. Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen.  25
  7. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause.  50
  8. Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys.  50
  9. Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 75
  10. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100
  11. Daenerys will go to Asshai.  25
  12. Qaithe is Shiera Seastar  50

Northern Politics and the White Walkers

  1. Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice.  75
  2. Jon Snow will come back to life in human form.  25
  3. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north.  100
  4. Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave.  100
  5. Bran ate Jojen.  Jojen is the paste.  50
  6. Jon will come back as an ice wight.  75
  7. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander.  50
  8. Fat Walda births a baby boy. 50
  9. Theon escapes from Stannis. 50
  10. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 25

King's Landing and the Riverlands

  1. The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 100
  2. House Darry will rise again.  25
  3. The Freys execute Edmure Tully.  25
  4. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners.  50
  5. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing.  Gregor is wearing Robb's head.  100
  6. Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's.  100
  7. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 100
  8. Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 100
  9. Sandor Clegane is really dead.  0
  10. Tommen will be killed by Arya.  50

Dorne and the Reach

  1. Civil war breaks out in Dorne.  Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells.  50
  2. Leyton Hightower has greyscale,  25
  3. Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight).  50
  4. Euron will burn The Citadel.  50
  5. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side.  100

 

 

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On 8/19/2018 at 5:28 AM, Texas Hold Em said:

It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events.  First, the rules.  Assign a percentage to each possible future event.  A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen.  It does not mean it will, of course.  It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain.  A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening.  

You may only assign the following percentages:

  • 0%
  • 25%
  • 50%
  • 75%
  • 100%

Possible Future Events (PFEs)

Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade

  1. Captain Daario is still alive - 75%, I doubt they'll harm him since he's very important hostage, more useful for them alive.
  2. Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron - 50%
  3. Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys - 100%
  4. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. - 50% Tyrion and Jorah is with him
  5. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay - 0%, he's too far, probably in Volantis.
  6. Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen - 0%, why? Sam never intended for them to remain in the ship
  7. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. - 100%
  8. Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. - 0%, They hate Dany
  9. Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. - 75%, he's the only knight to Dany, kind of needed to show smallfolk that Dany is with Barry the bold
  10. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. - 100%
  11. Daenerys will go to Asshai. - 0% There's nothing there except for the unknown
  12. Qaithe is Shiera Seastar - 25% since there's no mention of her eyes.

Northern Politics and the White Walkers

  1. Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. - 25% Stan seems like some plan going on and he won't be defeated by the likes of Ramsay 
  2. Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. - 100%
  3. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. - 75%, as Val said Grey death sleeps only to wake again, I have no idea how though
  4. Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. - 0% why though?, BR helps the Starks.
  5. Bran ate Jojen.  Jojen is the paste. - 0%
  6. Jon will come back as an ice wight. - 0%
  7. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. - 0% he needed majority of NW support
  8. Fat Walda births a baby boy. - 0%, Freys are pretty much cursed except for Roslin
  9. Theon escapes from Stannis. - 0%
  10. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. - 0%

King's Landing and the Riverlands

  1. The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. - 0%, Nymeria won't die before she meets Arya
  2. House Darry will rise again. - 0%, no more male line
  3. The Freys execute Edmure Tully. - 0%, Edmure is on his way to Casterly Rock with Lannisters
  4. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. - 50%, Probably with Lannister forces
  5. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing.  Gregor is wearing Robb's head. - 0% Robb's head is Rotten to the bone by Ungregor time
  6. Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. - 0%, I doubt there will be a Trial
  7. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. - 100%, someone(Cersei) will and the Tyrells as conspirators
  8. Aegon will conquer King's Landing. - 100%
  9. Sandor Clegane is really dead. - 0%, he is at rest
  10. Tommen will be killed by Arya. - 0% not in her list

Dorne and the Reach

  1. Civil war breaks out in Dorne.  Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. - 0%, why? they seem pretty good relations considering Quent grew up with the Yronwoods
  2. Leyton Hightower has greyscale, - 0% nothing to back this
  3. Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). - 0%
  4. Euron will burn The Citadel. - 50% probably most of Oldtown
  5. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. - 100%, fAegon will have them  you can't conquer Iron Throne with 10k men.

 

 

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On ‎8‎/‎18‎/‎2018 at 11:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said:

It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events.  First, the rules.  Assign a percentage to each possible future event.  A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen.  It does not mean it will, of course.  It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain.  A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening.  

You may only assign the following percentages:

  • 0%
  • 25%
  • 50%
  • 75%
  • 100%

Possible Future Events (PFEs)

Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade

  1. Captain Daario is still alive. 100%
  2. Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 25%
  3. Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 50%
  4. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 25%
  5. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100%
  6. Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0%
  7. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100%
  8. Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 0%
  9. Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 50%
  10. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100%
  11. Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0% ( Pretty sure Martin has confirmed we won't see Asshai in the main books)
  12. Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 0%

Northern Politics and the White Walkers

  1. Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice.  0%
  2. Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100%
  3. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 0%
  4. Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 0%
  5. Bran ate Jojen.  Jojen is the paste. 0%
  6. Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0%
  7. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 50%
  8. Fat Walda births a baby boy. 50% 
  9. Theon escapes from Stannis. 25%
  10. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0%

King's Landing and the Riverlands

  1. The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0%
  2. House Darry will rise again. 25%
  3. The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0%
  4. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0%
  5. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing.  Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 0%
  6. Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100%
  7. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 75%
  8. Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75%
  9. Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0% ( people believe this?)
  10. Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0%

Dorne and the Reach

  1. Civil war breaks out in Dorne.  Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 0%
  2. Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 0%
  3. Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 0%
  4. Euron will burn The Citadel. 75%( or something like that)
  5. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 75%

 

 

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  • 9 months later...
On 8/18/2018 at 10:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said:

It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events.  First, the rules.  Assign a percentage to each possible future event.  A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen.  It does not mean it will, of course.  It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain.  A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening.  

You may only assign the following percentages:

  • 0%
  • 25%
  • 50%
  • 75%
  • 100%

Possible Future Events (PFEs)

Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade

  1. Captain Daario is still alive.
  2. Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron.
  3. Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys.
  4. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal.
  5. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay.
  6. Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen.
  7. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause.
  8. Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys.
  9. Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire.
  10. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters.
  11. Daenerys will go to Asshai.
  12. Qaithe is Shiera Seastar

Northern Politics and the White Walkers

  1. Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice.  
  2. Jon Snow will come back to life in human form.
  3. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north.
  4. Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave.
  5. Bran ate Jojen.  Jojen is the paste.
  6. Jon will come back as an ice wight.
  7. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander.
  8. Fat Walda births a baby boy.
  9. Theon escapes from Stannis.
  10. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs.

King's Landing and the Riverlands

  1. The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria.
  2. House Darry will rise again.
  3. The Freys execute Edmure Tully.
  4. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners.
  5. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing.  Gregor is wearing Robb's head.
  6. Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's.
  7. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion.
  8. Aegon will conquer King's Landing.
  9. Sandor Clegane is really dead.
  10. Tommen will be killed by Arya.

Dorne and the Reach

  1. Civil war breaks out in Dorne.  Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells.
  2. Leyton Hightower has greyscale,
  3. Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight).
  4. Euron will burn The Citadel.
  5. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side.

 

Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade

1. 50% don’t care

2. 50% may be the only way to halt Dany but equally Euron’s lies could be what defeat him

3. 50% maybe

4. 0% never

5. 75% yes but killed by Vic

6. 100% George isn’t that cruel.....is he?

7. 75% some but not all

8. 100% they don’t have any other choice

9. 50% What is the Battle of Fire

10. 100% I can totally see that

11. 25% probably not

12. 25% either Shiera, Shiera’s descendant, or a Farman

Northern Politics and White Walkers 

1. 25% hope not

2. 100% No he’s coming back as a slug

3. 0% sounds stupidly extreme

4. 0% Bran can stay and rot for all I care

5. 100% I always thought there was something strange about that boy

6. 50% doubtful

7. 25% if he does his term will be for as long as it takes for the rest of the watch to find their daggers

8. 100% sure why not

9. 75% this isn’t the end for Theon G

10. 0% Ned’s bones will get to feed Barbrey Dustin to her dogs

KL and Riverlands

1. 75% someone will eventually

2. 100% House Darry will rise again harder and stronger

3. 0% piss off walder

4. 25% my boy Thoros is too smart, but SOMEONE has to avenge my favourite character Ser Burton Crakehall

5. 0% Help me I’m being held on this forum against my will

6. 50% depends if Gregor (sorry ROBERT) is up to it

7. 100% Tyrion is also the reason for house keys and my tv remote going missing

8. 25% wont even make it to Massey’s hook

9. 0% that gravedigger is looking shifty

10. 0% Arya is above that

Dorne and the Reach

1. 100% the Bloodroyals shall never be cowed

2. 50% Who?

3. 25% Alleras won’t dare deprive Sam the Slayer of his chance to prove himself

4. 25% Yandel will scare him off

5. 75% probably

In conclusion Bronn had better become king or I’ll be having some strong words with George.

 

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