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Fire Eater

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About Fire Eater

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    Ghost Haunting Valyria
  • Birthday 09/30/1989

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    GRRM's home state

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  1. Fire Eater

    Melisandre and Thoros of Myr

    He could possibly have known her when she served at the Red Temple in Volantis. They would meet with their respective AA candidates. She would say "Stannis is AAR, see he has fulfilled the prophecy with a dragon woken." It would be the sunk cost fallacy at that point. To which Moqorro would reply that Dany is the real AAR, who hatched real dragons as opposed to Melisandre's false (ice) dragon, which is just a trick and proof that she has fallen off track in serving the Great Other through her misguided quest. Well, Thoros wasn't as devout as Melisandre, or rather he never really was that into R'hllorism. As a result, he is more tolerant and accepting of other faiths. I think she would get on his nerves. As to the last part, her flames are telling her "For God's sake, lady, I am practically handing you the answers to the test. Jon Snow is AAR. Why can't you get that?"
  2. Fire Eater

    Cersei meeting Dany

    I don't think either will ever meet.
  3. Fire Eater

    What If Dunstan Drumm Won The Kingsmoot?

    He would have been remembered as "Dunstan the Death-Talker," since he apparently spoke so much he bored his enemies to death.
  4. Fire Eater

    Would a family therapist help the Greyjoys out?

    The problem is that the top 3 families couldn't be solved by therapy given they suffer from psychopaths: Greyjoys, Boltons and Lannisters.
  5. Fire Eater

    What if House Gardener Survived The Field of Fire?

    Atewell's answer: http://racefortheironthrone.tumblr.com/post/162989056926/had-a-gardener-heir-survived-the-field-of-fire
  6. Fire Eater

    What gods do the Vale Mountain Clans follow?

    The Old Gods, most likely. They are the descendants of the First Men who didn't bend the knee to the Arryns and take up the Seven.
  7. Fire Eater

    Exile from Valyria, why?

    Daenys the Dreamer had a prophetic dream that basically told her that the Doom was coming. The Targaryens sold all their lands in Valyria, and took everything they could carry, dragons included, to Dragonstone. On Dragonstone, it was far from Valyria, and they could get a fresh start.
  8. Fire Eater

    Brienne and the Wizard of Oz

    Good catch, Oathkeeper incorporates rubies, and belonged to Cersei's sibling, so it would be the ruby slippers. He would be the Wicked Witch of the East. The war would be the closest thing to a tornado IMO.
  9. Fire Eater

    Brienne and the Wizard of Oz

    Well, technically, Brienne hasn't come across them. I think the smallfolk would be munchkins in this case.
  10. Fire Eater

    Brienne and the Wizard of Oz

    I was looking at Brienne’s journey in A Feast for Crows for an essay on Meribald, and I realized that her journey actually references one of the most famous musical films in American history: The Wizard of Oz. Brienne being dressed in blue (armor), and leaving home for a quest is Dorothy. Brienne is accused of killing Renly when she was actually at the wrong place at the wrong time just as Dorothy with her house dropping on the Wicked Witch of the East. She is sent on her mission by Catelyn, the Lady of the North in a parallel to Glinda the Good Witch of the North. She is later accompanied by three male companions and a dog going along the road. Brienne bumps into Cat again later on like Dorothy and Glinda at the end of the film. Brienne also meets Thoros, whom she called by his nickname “the red wizard,” to which he replies: "The pink pretender, rather. I am Thoros, late of Myr, aye . . . a bad priest and a worse wizard." Meribald is the Scarecrow. Dorothy meets him in the country where he wants a brain, yet throughout the film demonstrated himself to be good on his feet. He managed to get apples for Dorothy by taunting the trees into throwing their apples at him. When and the rest of the group are cornered by the Wicked Witch of the West, he notices the candelabra and with quick thinking, cuts it down to give an opening for them to escape. Meribald is from the country, and he himself says he is simple, but actually proves himself to be intelligent with his broken men speech. Podrick Payne is the Cowardly Lion. The character, ironically a creature that symbolizes valor, is an admitted coward who wants courage, and we see in spite of his fears, he infiltrates the Wicked Witch’s castle to save Dorothy. Pod served lions, and he is described by every POV character that meets him as timid, with Sansa noticing he blushes and stares at her feet every time she talks with him. Yet, he rams himself into Mandon Moore just as he is about to kill Tyrion, and then pulls Tyrion to safety from the raging inferno on the Blackwater, saving his life. He later helps Brienne against the undoubtedly dangerous Bloody Mummer deserters. The boy can be shy, but deep inside is brave. Hyle Hunt is undoubtedly the Tin Man. The Tin Man has a metal body, and wants a heart, yet we see him show to be very caring towards his friends to the point of crying for them. Hyle Hunt’s body is covered in the metal of his armor like the Tin Man, and not having a heart appears to describe him pretty well. We’ve never seen him express sympathy or compassion towards anyone. He calls Brienne ugly to her face when he we see him first talk to her. He wants to find Sansa so he can sell her to the Lannisters. When Brother Gillum shows that a horse bit off his ear, Hyle responds by joking about it. When Brienne expresses sympathy for the children at the inn having lost their parents, Hyle’s response is to roll his eyes and mock her for her sympathy. He is a very self-interested man who doesn’t seem very caring towards anyone. However, we are first introduced to him when he defends a smallfolk couple and Brienne from Tarly’s guards, and actually defends Brienne against his boss and liege, Randyll Tarly, which cost him his job. As for Cersei, I’ll let you figure this one out. Cersei likes to wear green, is very vindictive and cruel, often associated with fire and is from the westerlands. Her subordinates are referred to as monkeys with Tyrion, her Hand, being called “a twisted little monkey demon,” Lancel, who gave Robert the wineskin and served as her sword, compared to “a mummer’s monkey” and she thinks of Falyse Stokeworth, whom she tried to have kill Bronn, as a “grasping monkey.” She also had an innocent dog, Lady, killed for something another girl and her dog did. (I’ll get you my pretty, and your little dog ,too.) Cersei is also looking for the owner of that dog, a young girl whom she blames for the death of a relative, and had imprisoned in her castle. Cersei is the Wicked Witch of the West.
  11. Fire Eater

    Euron Greyjoy and his Obsession with Mutes????

    Euron wants a crew of mutes since mutes can't give away your secrets.
  12. Fire Eater

    Why didn’t Robb just focus on Tywin?

    Except Robb wasn't purposefully setting Roose up for a disastrous defeat. Roose knew he was going to face Tywin, and how big an army Tywin had. Glover didn't know Tarly was headed for him, and that Gregor had taken Harrenhal. Roose was forewarned while Glover wasn't. Glover had to do with what he had, and he managing to inflict heavy casualties and retreat despite being pinned against the sea means he did an excellent job given the situation. No, it doesn't. I said Robb picked the most dangerous job in picking to fight Jaime Lannister not that he always picks the most dangerous job. You are going against the text. Going by sheer numbers, Robb was given the more dangerous job since he was outnumbered 2 to 1. Robert, by virtue of being king, was the one giving orders at the Trident not Ned. Ned had no command over Robert. No, you are putting words in my mouth and overreaching. I said he picked the more dangerous job, and gave Roose the less dangerous one. If they have sentries and scouts they could potentially sight the Northern army on its way. They could mobilize their forces for an attack. That's also taking into account that Robb would also have to split his forces into three with each force being smaller in numbers than the enemy they face. A mounted rider can easily take on a foot soldier in one-on-one. However, en masse foot soldiers forming a shieldwall can withstand a cavalry charge as was the case in the Battle of Hastings with Harold's infantry holding off the Norman cavalry. History disproves your point. He knew Ironborn would want to go back to the Iron Islands after Balon died to deal with succession. A token force would be left behind to hold Moat Cailin with no more than few hundred men. The towers at the moat could also hold only a limited number. That is the fallacy of presentism. Robb made his decision to go to Riverrun before the Blackfish suggested setting a trap for Jaime by baiting him for a chase. They still outnumbered Robb's known forces by a factor of two. The infantry in the middle was able to hold off a cavalry charge led by Robb until a sortie took them from behind. Robb had no idea how many men were left in Riverrun after Jaime's assault. Again, he made his decision to go to Riverrun before the Blackfish arrived. It was still the more dangerous option. No, it is clearly stated at the point Robb made the decision, he clearly had the more dangerous job. His capital wasn't undefended, or where did Ser Rodrik Cassel get the men to crush the Ironborn at Torrhen's Square? Robb didn't expect Roose to betray him. Even the best of statesmen can't guess what everyone's thinking. You fail to take into account that battle isn't one-on-one, but multiple fighters fighting in units. Historians agree that disciplined infantry en masse can withstand most cavalry charges. The strength of cavalry relies on momentum once they hit a shield wall, and if they don't break the shieldwall, they can be surrounded by infantry and run through with a pike, pulled off their horse or have their horse killed from under them. https://books.google.fi/books?id=nQDBUgwGae4C&pg=PA39&dq=cavalry+effective+misconceptions&hl=en&sa=X&ei=nePJUZfSLeTQiwK8wYDABg&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q=cavalry effective misconceptions&f=true Again, no, Roose was forewarned while Glover wasn't. Tarly wasn't at Duskendale until long after Glover had already arrived. Roose was sent to face Tywin. It seems as if it doesn't matter that he was set up. He wasn't forewarned about Tarly, and he didn't hear about the Battle of the Blackwater. Roose clearly knew about the latter, and could have sent a message to Glover. He also likely knew the Lannisters would send an army against Glover. The last he likely heard Stannis was marching towards King's Landing, and the city and Lannisters appeared doomed. Due to being set up, and purposeful lack of intel from Roose. Roose, like any commander, would have been expected to send a message to their subordinate telling them that Harrenhal is occupied by the enemy, and what I just mentioned before. That doesn't demonstrate superiority on your part, just a lack of maturity. How many people have ever been convinced in an argument by being condescended to or insulted? It also makes it harder for people you're debating to take you seriously. He works as an Assistant Professor at City University of New York with a PhD in Public Policy History. You discount an actual historian? That is what in debate is known as a non sequitur. Doing what other people with popular blogs do counts against him how? His posts are free. Do you have any evidence to back up your claims? Did you extensively go through his tumblrs and wordpress posts? Lord Hornwood was killed, whose lands border Roose's. He was simply hedging his bets, and probably waited until the Battle of the Blackwater to completely throw in with Tywin.
  13. Fire Eater

    What if: Emperor Aegon the Conqueror?

    Seconded. Aegon had his chance when he could have allied with Volatnis in conquering the Free Cities, but instead chose to fight against them. While Westeros has a millenia-long historical tradition of monarchies, Essos is completely different. The Free Cities have no history of monarchies. The Freehold of Valyria was a republic, and the Free Cities didn't have monarchies but magisters, archons and the only monarch, the Prince of Pentos, is just a ceremonial figurehead used as a scapegoat should a crop fail or war be lost.
  14. Fire Eater

    Will Dany's Dragons lay eggs?

    He has people at the ToJ, with the Daynes having been friends of Rhaegar. It is going to be confirmed eventually, or why put it in the story in the first place? They were legitimized after Addam mounted Seasmoke. That is taken to mean that mounting a dragon proves that one has blood of the dragon. Don't tell me mounting a dragon had nothing to do with the decision to legitimize the boys. A dragon proves he has blood of the dragon, and lends evidence to his claim. It wouldn't be taken to prove Jon's heritage alone, but also Howland, Wylla's and possibly, the Daynes' testimony. Where would Jon get a Dragonhorn? A Dragonhorn also kills whoever blows it, and I doubt Jon would ever sacrifice someone with that thing. It also wouldn't help him given everyone would hear it, and know he used it. So using the horn wouldn't prove his Targaryen heritage. As for skinchanging, GRRM said there is no record of a dragon having been warged, so I don't know where Dany would get the idea with no one she knows or any Southron allies, will know he is a skinchanger. Hell, most people in the North don't know, except a few at the Wall. Dany and Jon would have just met in that scenario, and she likely wouldn't have heard about his skinchanging. To tell you the truth, I think Jon would skinchange a dragon before he tries to mount it to potentially avoid a horrible death. His dragonblood would at least get his foot through the door. Well, in ADwD, they go off to hunt, so they control their eating schedules and food portions. That they have to eat daily suggests they have to, and they can't go for long stretches of time without food. Hell, I think judging by Drogon's actions when he arrives back in Meereen which is eat Barsena and the boar, he left his cave because he was running out of food. The hatchling would need to find a supply of charred meat for six more months after the corpses decompose. So are direwolves (they have some form of telepathic bond from what we've seen of the Starks when warging into them), yet there are rules. I know you know that GRRM would never do things like have them speak or grow wheels, he keeps magic at a certain limit. He is using some level of magic realism. There are rules such as some magic requiring blood sacrifice, and the higher the level of magic the greater the number of sacrifices. I'm going for a strict interpretation while you seem to be going for a looser one. I'm using the scientific method. Dany's dragons are the only ones we see grow up in the series, and they're the only evidence we have. Smoke didn't mean he was able to breathe fire yet. All we know is Drogon first breathed fire seven months after hatching. Let's say a dragon can possibly learn earlier at five months, that still leaves four months without food. A hatchling couldn't have survived unassisted for months without food with a metabolism that requires it to eat many times a week. Well, Dany's dragons are the template. They're the closest thing to evidence. Any other is speculation at his point. I don't think there is anything that says more food = faster maturation, but it can result in a bigger, fatter baby dragon. I think in nature, it generally doesn't work that way with the exception of malnourishment, which can stunt growth. As to the bolded, that isn't how burden of proof works. The burden is generally supposed to fall on the person who makes the claim "X causes Y" (Dragons can mature much faster than Dany's) that challenges the status quo not the person who claims "X doesn't cause Y" or the status quo. Otherwise, if it were the other way around, the burden would be on you to disprove my theory that in space there is an entire planet made of spaghetti with a giant meatball for a moon. My claims regarding dragon maturation have evidence in the form of Dany's dragons, which even if you think it isn't much, is still more than the evidence you have for your claims which is to say, none. The heating pools are clearly caused by hot springs, otherwise how would a dragon survive deep underground without food or air? That still means they weren't able to breathe fire. It is an ability that takes a while to develop like young cobras learning to control the injection of venom from their fangs.
  15. Fire Eater

    Why didn’t Robb just focus on Tywin?

    That's a completely different battle that absolutely doesn't fit as analogy. Neither Tywin nor Jaime were in a fortress, but in the field. Robb's forces also clearly outnumbered the Ironborn while the Lannister forces outnumbered his. Robb picked the Greatjon for this given his job is to distract an enemy, and to put up a fierce fight, which actually suits the Greatjon. I mistook your number thinking the 3k referred to Robb's cavalry instead of Jaime's. Either way Robb was outnumbered more than 2 to 1, and 15,000 men is still 15,000. He would potentially be facing a shieldwall with twice as many infantry as Robb's forces that could withstand a cavalry charge with 3000 enemy cavalry to flank them. However, Robb played it smart. Common sense? Robb lead a cavalry charge against the infantry before the gates of Riverrun, and the Lannister infantry managed to hold off the cavalry until they're taken in the rear by Blackwood. A shieldwall can stop a cavalry charge, especially given the Lannisters as GRRM noted, have the best infantry. That still would result in high casualties if the goal was to absolutely slaughter the Northern army. No, math and military realities as well as the books show otherwise. You're going against Cat's own words. Robb still was not immune to harm in battle even with guards as he was expected to fight. So you're saying Roose was just going to sit around doing nothing? Commanders are expected to do some on the ground thinking. Robb was focused on bringing Tywin west. His failures were political not military. You're argument makes no sense. Glover was sent there following Roose's orders, and Roose purposely sent the Northern army to get destroyed knowing as he had thrown in with Tywin by then. It was a disaster, because Roose intended it. Glover wasn't expecting Tarly to attack him. The odds weren't in his favor in that battle, but against him since he was set up. He was pinned against the sea which is a bad position. Instead of getting pushed into the sea with his army destroyed a la the Fishfeed in the Dance of Dragons, he manages to get his forces out of there and inflict heavy casualties. This was also against Tarly "the finest soldier in the realm" who inflicted the only defeat on Robert in the Battle of Ashford using only his vangauard. That in and of itself is a feat. No numbers are given as to how many men were lost on Tarly's side. It also isn't given how many men Tarly had with him, but I am guessing as large as Glover's or larger. Condescension is uncalled for. Atwell is an actual historian with knowledge of medieval warfare, politics, history and customs. He does re-reads of the chapters doing military and political analyses. That quote was from his analysis of the chapter showing the Battle of the Green Fork. Roose is weakening his rivals, and at the very least thinking of joining the Lannisters. They have more to offer than Robb could. I'm not a Robb fan.