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Free Northman Reborn

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  1. Free Northman Reborn

    FIRE AND BLOOD EXCERPT

    Yes. Martin’s words were something like : “I had them bring five dragons from Vayria, I THINK”. Doesn’t sound like he even had the dragons other than Balerion named, going by that, let alone fleshed out their lives and deaths.
  2. Seems pretty telling that Martin quotes this speculation in this context, and in the rather sober manner that he did in this clip. I would say it makes that “speculation” a hundred times more valid than if it just floated around on a forum like this one, for example. I will take it one step further and link it to my previous speculation that Torhenn Stark was given similar insight in some manner (whether by the old gods, a greendream or some other convincing source), which led to his decision to bend the knee to Aegon. I guess we shall eventually discover the truth of the matter, if we are patient enough.
  3. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    So, lets do a little math. There seems to be no age restriction after which squires automatically become knights. In fact, most likely some remain squires their whole lives. So let’s say squires range in age from twelve to their mid forties. That’s a range of roughly 30 years. (Does that sound about right?) 16 seems to be a good age by which a man is deemd of fighting age. Let’s also assume that there are more young squires than old squires, so the 12-16 age group will likely be over represented. Lets make it by a factor of two. So double it as a precentage of the likely age ramge, for good measure. That gives you at most a quarter of all squires being under the age of 16. I have a feeling it is probably even less than that, but let’s go with a quarter for sake of argument. That means that about 75% of squires will be of fighting age.
  4. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    “There were 33 fighting men all told”, according to Dunk. Those squires were no kids or mere servants. They were fighting men. Spelled out for us in black and white.
  5. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    In tSS Lady Webber’s force is described as 6 knights and their 6 squires, Ser Lucas Inchfield and 20 crossbowmen. 33 men in all, Martin states. So in this case the squires are all quite clearly counted as part of the armed force. Same with the twenty odd Manderly knights and their squires that join Robb. Again, clearly part of the mounted force.
  6. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    Yes. I suspect if someone asked George where the squires were in the Frey 4000 strong host he would think a bit and then say they were part of the 1000 cavalry. Also makes it more consistent. The Freys having 20% of the knights of the entire Field of Fire seems not to fit.
  7. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    We know how many joined him when Renly was killed. Did they all stay? Did more trickle in afterward? Did some desert him? We are never explicitly told how many were at the Blackwater. However, your argument seems to be a nebulous "If he had 15000 cavalry, he should have done better", or something along those lines. Why? Tywin's relief force had something like 80,000 men. As for the retcon. Do you really think Martin had the whole Westeros fleshed out and solidly established from the start? That he never changes his mind? If so, you are misguided. The retcon STRENGTHENS the argument that he puts significant thought into the numbers, rather than weakening it.
  8. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    To the contrary. How many men did Stannis have at the Blackwater? How many foot? How many horse? We don't know. In fact, we are never told. The "impression" you carry on about is just that. Your personal impression, based on zero numbers provided for the battle. As for Dorne's change in military strength: That in fact shows very deliberate thought on the strength Dorne should have compared to other regions, including a detailed back story explanation on why the original numbers were incorrectly stated by certain characters.
  9. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    You seem to be using the fact that there are troop movements offscreen to try and discredit actual troop numbers confirmed onscreen. Where Renly’s horse went is immaterial. They could be in Ashaii for all we know. The important thing is that he had 20k horse originally. Not what happened to them between one chapter and the next. Incomplete information is a far cry from inconsistant information.
  10. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    Yes. The Freys had 1000 horse and 3000 infantry. I find it unlikely that another 1000 mounted, armed squires were just ignored in this count. They were in there, and they weren’t part of the infantry, that’s for sure. So that only leaves them being amongst the 1000 cavalry.
  11. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    A big unanswered question in my mind is whether squires are counted as heavy cavalry or even just general cavalry in these armies. We see with Lady Webber’s small contingent of 6 knights and 6 squires as well as with Manderly’s 20 knights and 20 squires in the force that joined Robb, that they seem to form part of the cavalry count. They certainly don’t count as infantry, and I doubt they just hang with the camp followers during battle. Because if they form part of the cavalry it could instantly reduce the Frey knights to 500 (with 500 squires brining their cavalry up to 1000), which would be a 1-6 ratio, later dropping closer to 1-10 once their reserves are raised. The status of squires is therefore a significant point of clarification. I find it ironic ( and slightly bonkers) that one can dismiss the absolutely crucial issue of comparative military strengths as not worth analyzing, while poring over every useless detail of which Targaryen daughter, brother or uncle married which other Targeryen or obscure lord 200 years ago, down to arguing over where the wedding venue was, and other such trivial matters. And don’t even get me started on the apparently riveting practice of trying to build 200 year old famly trees of people who will never play a role in the main series. Compared to that, understanding the balance of power from a military perspective is a highly significant endeavour.
  12. Free Northman Reborn

    Kristallnacht -80 Years Later, How Have We Changed?

    Pretty sure the European migrant crisis happened between 2002 and 2017. That’s a rather big event/factor to ignore in this context.
  13. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    Robb’s 12000: 1 to 3. Frey’s 4000: 1 to 3 Robb’s 20000: 1 to 3 Tywin’s 35000 : 1 to 2.5. Those are for primary forces. But even if you add reserve forces which will mostly be infantry, it is hard to see it dropping much beyond 1 to 5. 1 to 10 doesn’t seem right.
  14. Free Northman Reborn

    Kristallnacht -80 Years Later, How Have We Changed?

    I question the idea that it is perpetuated by the elites. Rather, it is a grass roots movement, with ordinary people increasingly concerned about the impact of globalization on their culture and way of life. The economic argument around migrants is a side issue, used as a proxy for the real concern. Which is that large portions of the population simply don’t want their societies to change as a result of an infusion of people from elsewhere, with different customs and practices. And I don’t see why the multiculturalists see that legitimate concern as so undesirable. So politicians on the left going to great lengths to prove that each migrant brings a net gain of $xxx or €xxx to the economy (even if that can be established) doesn’t matter to people who fear migration for cultural reasons, economics be damned.
  15. Free Northman Reborn

    Military Strengths-2 and More!

    Upon further thought, a couple of points come to mind. First, imagine that an average major lord (Ryswell, Mallister, Tarly level for example) has perhaps 20 household knights, maybe 10 petty lords, and maybe 50 Landed Knights sworn to him. Each of his petty lords then has say half a dozen household knights and maybe 10 Landed Knights sworn to him. And each Landed knight in turn has on average 2 household knights or sworn swords in his service. For that Great Lord, that would then equate to: 20 direct household knights 50x2 = 100 household knights serving his Landed Knights 10x6 = 60 household knights serving his petty lords 100x2 = 200 household knights serving the Landed Knights of the petty lords. Total = 380 Household knights/ sworn swords Add to that the 50 Landed Knights of the Great Lord and the 100 Landed Knights of the petty lords and that gives you 150 Landed Knights vs the 380 Non-Landed Knights. Giving you 530 knights in total. The second question then becomes, are squires counted as heavy cavalry too? They also ride horses and are armored. And there seems to be one for every knight, going by the Lady Webber example (and the example of the Manderly knights with Robb, accompanied by an equal number of mounted squires.) That could account for lords like the Freys having up 1000 cavalry or more.
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