SeanF

Well, I did vote Conservative in July, and for Brexit in 2016. But, I expect both are distinctly small minority positions.

I think I can see why abortion rights don’t help the Democrats, despite being generally popular. Ballot initiatives in Red States enabled pro-choice Republicans to vote in favour, while still voting Republican for other reasons. They could choose a la carte.

Inflation kills every incumbent government, however good. Prices are simply far higher than four years ago.

Touch and go. When I went to bed, the projection was 220-215 D , now it’s more like 216-219, but it could go either way.

Initially, I read that as Craster, rather than Caesar. Which is fitting.

The Democrats might well have taken the House.

Moreno has won Ohio, and thus Republicans take the Senate.

Perhaps his odiousness is part of the appeal, for some voters.

For sure. A one in four chance of winning is still quite fair.

It does look overall as if the opinion polling has been pretty accurate. Harris can definitely still win, if she holds the Mid-West, but Trump is favourite, now.

The NYT is giving Trump a 77% chance in Georgia and projecting a 2.5% margin. It’s not impossible that Harris takes the State, but unlikely.

The Black Nazi has been defeated in North Carolina. Trump has won Texas. It looks like the result will turn on Pennsylvania m.

Red counties declare first. It’s very like a Harris hold.

It looks like Trump will win Georgia by about 1.5%.

I take it that: a) The three deaths matched the three dragons b) Some other will was at work than just Daenerys’. She was meant to hatch dragons the way Bilbo was meant to find the Ring.

Maybe they should get Benioff and Weiss to do Season 3. Galadriel could start exploring her sapphic side with Poppy, while Elrond says “play with her arse.”

The Septon is meant to serve the Gods. Not to defy them because Walder is butthurt.

IMHO, Harris wins by 286 to 252 (Az and Ne flip, but no others); the GOP wins the Senate by 52/48, and the Democrats win the House by 5 - 10 seats.

It’s infuriating. Constantly telling them they have to fight for a draw.

I agree. Who cares about a film? It won’t fix the clusterfuck of the final two seasons.

Agreed. The West has always been committed to achieving a draw, not a win, in Ukraine. And yes, the behaviour of pro-Putin Republicans has been a disgrace.

Harris certainly has a better than a one in three chance, at this point. The weight of money is very often not a good guide to the outcome.

I would trust John Ralston on this. It's plain that he detests Trump, but he's crunched the numbers and they are looking very good for Nevada Republicans, right now.

However good the Democratic GOTV operation is, it seems to have gone to sleep in Nevada.

Those are encouraging. The problem is that there are others that are not.