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Everything posted by Kyll.Ing.

  1. I think the main problem here is distance. Lady Stoneheart and her posse are hanging out in the Riverlands, while Jon is at the Wall. Those are very far apart. About 1500 miles according to the map on the wiki, with chokepoints such as Moat Cailin (held by Bolton men) and Winterfell (which is currently experiencing a massive snowstorm, plus Stannis' army camping outside) along the way. It doesn't strike me as likely that Stoneheart and the Brotherhood could make it to the Wall in any reasonable timeframe.
  2. Picking up this for a moment: Given how popular that book will be, I think the bookstores are more likely to buy a new set of shelves specifically for TWoW than refusing to carry it.
  3. This is in a way great news, but I keep returning to that time he thought he was four months away from finishing the manuscript back in 2015. Also, "three quarters" doesn't strike me as a very uplifting estimate. Given the time the book has spent in writing, a figure like that implies that he still thinks the book will take a couple more years to get finished. And GRRM's estimates are famously, well ... you know. Of course, this "sorry, no more than 75% complete" statement may be deliberately pessimistic for strategic reasons, trying to under-promise and over-deliver instead of the opposite. It could be that he's closer to 90%, but giving himself a wide buffer to work with. After all, they say the first 90% of the work takes 90% of the allotted time, and the remaining 10% also takes 90% of the allotted time.
  4. Wasn't it rumoured that beta readers basically didn't like any of it? Granted, not much has been revealed about the supposed beta read, but I seem to recall murmurs suggesting the manuscript needed very heavy work to be even passable.
  5. I always read the situation as if Kvothe had managed to screw things up in a mahoosive way, screwed up even more things in trying to fix it, and realized that whatever bad is happening to the world, his involvement in the events would only make things worse. Hence why he has scampered off to hide, not as much hiding himself from the world, but hiding the world from himself. This would require a moment of self-realization of a type we've yet to see in the series so far, though.
  6. Considering that the "anything else" category mostly boils down to two and a half books published many years ago, it's not hard to see why.
  7. Asshai serves one very specific purpose in the story, and for that matter the setting as a whole: To be a mysterious city on the far side of the world. The ultimate faraway, exotic location, so alien to the people of Westeros and so shrouded in riddles it might as well be a mythological place. It's to Westeros what China was to early-medieval Englishmen. Going there would defeat the whole purpose. It is meant to be far away and mysterious, not inspected up-close.
  8. The length of your prediction is entirely on you. You decide how much you think the story will progress and how much time you want to do it in. As @Nevets said, you're giving multiple characters way more chapters than any character has ever had in previous books. You progress the story of key characters all the way to their death when there's one more book left after this. Basically, you're stretching things way beyond the point of reasonable.
  9. Or more than any three of the other books combined. AGoT, ASoS, and ADwD are the longest books so far in terms of chapters, and together they add up to 228. 231 if you include the prologues. I redid my earlier count, and found that 235 chapters would be the equivalent of 70% of the chapters in the series so far.
  10. 235 now. The rest of the books put together add up to 338. You're more than two-thirds of the way there. Do you really not see how unrealistic that would be?
  11. I'm a little torn on this. I definitely think The Colour of Magic is among the weakest Discworld books, but it and the direct sequel The Light Fantastic contain so much essential worldbuilding and introduction of key concepts and locations, that the other books introduce very piecemeal or only mention in passing. I really can't think of a better place to start, despite the drawbacks of these books (and definitely the first one).
  12. And with that, you reach 225. Three times as long as the other books and then some. It's reasonable that TWoW will be a bit longer than the others, but completely off-the-rails bonkers to believe for half a second it will be this much longer.
  13. So no Daenerys POV yet (and no Jon Snow, but he might lack a POV considering his, er, condition), and you're already at 208 chapters. The book with the most chapters in the series so far had 81. Can't you see that this is a little over-the-top?
  14. But not twice as many, a milestone you're close to reaching already. Your latest batch is an additional +27 chapters, for a subtotal of 133, still with no Daenerys and no count of the Vale chapters. Assuming twenty-something chapters for each of those too, your estimate is up to 170-180 chapters. And that still leaves some plot arcs like Lady Stoneheart, the debacle at the Wall, Bran, and Arya. The book will be longer, sure, but not that much longer.
  15. You're currently at 106 chapters, without counting any POVs in the Vale or even having started on Essos. ASoS, the most chapter-heavy of the books so far, is 81 chapters, including the prologue and epilogue. The others range between 69 and 72 chapters (except AFfC, 45 chapters). Needless to say, I think you're a bit off.
  16. @Werthead Is the word "lasted" in the thread title intentional? If not, maybe it's possible to change it? It bugs me a bit ...
  17. I'm half convinced that by "third book" she means The Slow Regard of Silent Things, and that the release date in question is October 28, 2014.
  18. Worst case scenario, it's whoever poor schmuck gets to be in the prologue or epilogue this time.
  19. Same here. I could live with the idea that the book was underway in some capacity, maybe half-finished and still with some massive knots left to untangle, but overall with some level of (very slow) progress. But when he is unable to produce a single chapter in so many months, it looks eerily like definite evidence that the book isn't just "unfinished and troubled", but "totally non-existent for all practical purposes". It's really hard to be optimistic for the book when not even a preview can be shown (despite promises, no less) despite half a year of waiting time. It should be enough to make even the staunchest fan waver a bit.
  20. I've given the idea some thought over the years. If I ever were to write a piece of fiction with a magical setting, it would work somewhat like this: Magic is the manifestation of willpower. It is a means to make something imagined happen. It can be done by conjuring objects, energy, or forces, or by teleportation or transformation or a few other basic mechanisms. However, the difficult part is to precisely define what you want to happen, and how. The way from willpower to reality is full of intricacies that must be taken care of, otherwise nothing happens or something will go spectacularly wrong. Say for instance that you want a piece of wood to levitate. You can't just cancel gravity's affection of the wood, then it would just remain on the floor until acted on by an external force. Invert gravity? Now it accelerates upwards instead. Lifting it in some way, then? By what force? Tension from above, compression from underneath? A single vector on the centre of gravity, or a uniform force spread across its entire volume? How to balance the force so the wood stops in mid-air, never mind so it stops spinning? Cancelling out velocity and rotation is tricky business. Now imagine it with a non-rigid object, like a cloak. Or a clot of cream. Tricky business. In short, doing magic would be very similar to programming. The magician works in a physics engine, and would have to define precisely what they want to happen, like a programmer coding a video game or setting up a multiphysics simulation. Fortunately, programmers don't work with ones and zeroes. There are existing frameworks to work within on almost every level, from the basic machine code to operating systems, to programming languages, to code packages for each programming language. And even some visual code tools and libraries to assemble code out of pre-existing parts, rather than having to write everything from the ground up. Likewise with magic, there would be similar frameworks set up by arcane researchers of the past, ways to channel raw magic through words, and languages of those words that could be used to cast spells (that is, multiple languages could effectively work the same magic using entirely different words - like how Dutch and Chinese could both be used to make the exact same detailed descriptions of an object, even though they sound nothing alike). And then there could be further refinements of words and phrases into commands of stunning complexity despite the simple nature of the triggering word - for instance, like how a computer responds to the simple string "format C://". In other words, an aspiring spellcaster would need to learn a language, with its list of commands and the structure of how to give them. Commands would have to be given in a set order depending on the language (just keep in mind how something as simple as an "if" loop looks very different depending on what program you use to define it). But with mastery of a language, pretty much everything is possible. Or, well, there are always limitations, and that would also be something a spellcaster would have to learn. Building up a magical system of one's own is like building software from the ground up - a challenge for the master of the arcane, but technically doable. Self-taught magicians would be very rare, however, and rarely able to do anything intricate unless they've really thought things through (as shown above, even the simplest task can be intricate if you break it down). Forget making skulls talk, conjuring an army of demons, or transforming ropes into snakes. A "raw" magician might just be able to create blasts of force or heat, with very little precision. I've thought of a few other aspects of my magical system, but this is enough of a ramble already that I think I'll stop here for now.
  21. Granted, given how GoT turned out in the end, that is a pretty big if.
  22. We're a few days short of the 11th anniversary of ADWD, which is saying something. However, I don't feel that this statement truly captures how long it has been, so I like to put it in a different way: The halfway point between the release of ADWD and the present day is around January 2017.
  23. I always had such a soft spot for The Last Hero. My biggest point against it is definitely that the setup is quite a bit too fast-paced. Does it even take five pages for the Patrician to bring the crew together? The ending is a bit rushed too, although the final demise of the Kite is very on-brand. But I don't think the very end is that good. Leonard da Quirm has finished his painting. That's where it ends. But the illustrations, man ... that's good work. And there's a small blink-and-you-miss-it bit of setup for Monstrous Regiment in there as well, where ... And of course, the fitting end to the titular Last Hero. In hindsight, it would have been epic to see Granny Weatherwax there as well, but I suppose there was no time to bring her in. Another thing worth mentioning about this novel, too: one little thing that always irked me about the Discworld was that we never got a chance for the elephants to play much of a role in the story. Even The Fifth Elephant only uses the hypothesis of a lost fifth elephant as a geological background event. There are frequent references to Great A'Tuin, who even has a moment to shine in The Light Fantastic, but the elephants are all just ... there. Even their names are only ever mentioned on the first page of the first novel (Berilia, Tubul, Great T'Phon and Jerrakeen). The Last Hero takes us underneath the elephants, and they are an awesome sight to behold, but still they're just standing there. I lament that we never got an elephant-centered story out of Discworld. Only this novel and parts of The Colour of Magic take place outside the top of the Disc (with the latter having some brief chapters taking place along its edge), but not much of the story seems to actually happen there. I wish we had a book that did. Couldn't the dwarves have dug all the way through the Disc in one point, for instance? Are there hanging societies on its underside? Could perhaps some malign force once affect one of the elephants, giving the Disc a slight wobble and requiring our heroes to venture to the greatest depths to fix it? There definitely is potential to explore the strange astronomy of the Disc, but Pratchett sadly never got to write such a story.
  24. So if I'm reading this correctly, but possibly with some confirmation bias, it seems my guess wasn't too far off. He had an outline and a mostly finished story (which may or may not have deviated significantly from the outline already at this point), then rushed to complete the first book without necessarily making it compatible with his future plans. Which means the first book was out and its setup set in stone, and the future plans were made irrelevant. The existing draft was obsolete, because it assumed a different setup. And then he had no good ideas for what path the story could follow, now that plans had to be changed. Wise Man's Fear did not successfully stake out a new path for him either. Cue a massive writer's block that has yet to be resolved. Or put in simpler terms: His eagerness to publish (which, to be frank, could have been a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity) caused him to paint himself into a corner. I wonder if he has ever considered just starting over, although it could be that the original draft had some deal-breaking problems of its own that would have seen him painted into a different corner instead.
  25. I think he had a draft, but changed things so much in writing that the draft became obsolete. Like a character gets a new backstory, somebody survives a disaster instead of dying because it'd be awesome to have them in a scene later, Kvothe makes a decision that takes him to some other situation than initially planned, and before you know the setup provided by one novel doesn't even resemble the outline of the next two. And maybe the draft was kinda crappy in hindsight anyway, so the few elements that could have been salvaged, should not be salvaged.
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