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About aryagonnakill#2

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  1. aryagonnakill#2

    How powerful are the Royces?

    The Royces regularly contribute to the watch. The NW relies on those contributions, without them they could not afford to buy food.
  2. aryagonnakill#2

    Euron's Plan after Oldtown

    My personal opinion is that he will not attack Oldtown first, the Reach in general needs to be weakened more before he can hope to succeed. He will however crush the Redwyn and Hightower fleets giving him complete control of the sunset sea. From there I believe he will sail immediately back to the shield islands, and ambush Garlan as he tries to retake the shields with fishing boats and river barges. They will be slaughtered. Harlaw will kill Garlan with Nightfall, as Olenna and Catlyn predicted. From there the Ironborn will carry their longships overland until they reach the Honeywine, as foreshadowed by the Ironborn taking the Riverlands in this way. They can then attack Oldtown from the undefended river and take the harbor. By raiding up and down the Honeywine many of the troops in Oldtown will leave to defend their lands, making Oldtown more vulnerable, until it eventually is forced to surrender, or Euron decides to storm the city.
  3. aryagonnakill#2

    The Secret to how Valyrians were able to Ride Dragons

    I like it a lot overall. One point I would disagree on is why Dany survived the funeral Pyre. I believe MMD's life paid for her own, I believe it was completely separate from the hatching.
  4. aryagonnakill#2

    TWoW - Arya Stark

    Her payment?
  5. aryagonnakill#2

    First Bran chapter in TWOW

    I certainly don't think Bran will open the book but I feel it will come before halfway because his story will simply have to move along. Brans not going to stay in the cave, he will travel back south via gornes way, otherwise that would just be a huge chekovs gun not being used. But that travel will still be slow and has to start at some point reasonable enough that Bran could return to WF before the WW's.
  6. aryagonnakill#2

    The Mance Plan and how the Pink Letter killed it.

    Why would Mance think this is possible? There were some 300 wildlings at Molestown who hated John when Mance left the wall. He does not have any knowledge of Tormund crossing the wall.
  7. aryagonnakill#2

    The iron bank will go bankrupt

    I think many people forget how small the debt the Iron Throne owes the Iron Bank is, because the abomination embellished it. In the books, the crown starts of 6 million in debt. 3 million of that is to the Lannisters, and a million is to the church. That leaves 2 million in debt, spread around between rich westerosi lords, Tyroshi bankers, Penthosi merchants, and the Iron bank. Really we should not consider the debt larger than 500,000 gold dragons. It also would not have increased during the war, other than to accrue interest since payments were not being made. Since KL was blockaded until the war was basically over, there was no way for the crown to be borrowing money, this is why Joffrey was never able to raise an army from the crownlands. They couldn't feed/pay for it. In terms of paying off the debt, whoever wins in the end, if not a Lannister, will surely cancel the debt owed to them in light of their repeated treason. Reducing the overall debt by 3/5ths, since Cersei already got the faith to remove their portion. This will make the remaining portion, including the Iron banks, easy to pay.
  8. aryagonnakill#2

    There must Always be a Stark at Winterfell

    Just for frame of reference, people thinking spirits can't pass Iron is something that comes from the real world. They believe it about salt as well.
  9. aryagonnakill#2

    Kraznys mo Naklos - Charming Villain

    All the slavers of Astapor were killed. Then the city was left to freed slaves who killed their former masters, then sacked. Kraznys has no family left alive.
  10. aryagonnakill#2

    Fake Aegon, Real Aegon, and Quentyn Martell

    Theories are proven wrong all the time, people not accepting that is childish.
  11. aryagonnakill#2

    Do Targaryen names mean anything in Valyrian?

    Slightly aside here but maybe relevant, GRRM once said that the Targ dragons were named for Valyrian gods.
  12. aryagonnakill#2

    Silverwing and the Dying of the Dragons

    They have plenty of dragons but young is relative, there were no recent hatchlings. The youngest was moondancer who was 8?ish? They had failed hatchings and were praying eggs would hatch when the kids slept with them.
  13. aryagonnakill#2

    Silverwing and the Dying of the Dragons

    It was my understanding that the Targs were having trouble hatching even before the dance, and that it was a steady decline.
  14. The reason I have always felt so strongly it is Ramsay is because he is the only character who has motive to write the letter and I believe the highlighted portion of your comment here shows you missing that. Sure Jon leaving WF could benefit Ramsay, Stannis, or Theon, that much is true, but none of them know Jon has a wildling army, so none of them has any reason to think he could gather a force and march to their aid/to fight them. From any potential authors POV, if Jon leaves the wall he does it himself as a traitor to the watch, unless he is getting some sort of pardon from Stannis but that's besides the point, the point is he would be alone in any of their minds, so that motive for writing the letter falls apart.
  15. I get why you would want to avoid discussion of who authored the letter, but by doing so I feel you loose the ability to see the true motive. I believe Ramsay killed Roose before writing the letter, in a rage. Then when he calms down he realizes Roose was right and writes the letter. Whether people return to WF and tell Ramsay they couldn't find Theon and Arya or he goes with them and sees for himself, he will want to ride to the wall immediately assuming that is where they will go, but Roose will say no, because it would be extremely risky for them to march on Castle Black. It takes 3-5 times the manpower to storm a castle. Castle Black may not have a curtain wall facing south but it still has towers and the high ground, so just taking the lower number of 3 times seems fair in my mind. But Roose and Ramsay cant know exactly how many men are there. They would also have to use their own men, as every house in the north has family in the watch and couldn't be really trusted in a fight against Eddard Starks only living son, in addition to family members in the watch. Taking 1500-2000 Bolton men on a thousand mile march in the middle of a storm when their Frey allies are all dead is a terrible idea. There is no guarantee any of the men are ever seen again, and it would leave WF vulnerable. The letter is a you don't talk I don't talk threat. You tell the world that's not really Arya, I tell the world you spared Mance. This gives him time to think and breath.