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The Sleeper

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    A series of biological ephemera

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  1. The Sleeper

    Tyrion Counsel to Aegon (Young Griff)

    I think the issue is more along the lines that she is unknown to him and he has precisely zero leverage. Presentation and context also matters. Being introduced to Dany by say Illyrio as an asset that has defected is very different from being presented as a fugitive and a prisoner from Griff. Had he managed to make himself a part of the group and ingratiate himself to Aegon, his circumstances would change drastically. We see him doing the same thing again with the Second Sons. I don't think that Tyrion wanted to avoid Dany. For one thing I don't think he fancies Aegon's chances solo or that he sees his own prospects as better in Westerns, than taking his chances with Dany. There is also the fascination with dragons. Only a certain death would turn him away from dragons.
  2. The Sleeper

    Decline in gravitas among major characters as series progresses

    I think that is probably Kevan. He is the only character who can speak for the Lannisters with any authority in King's Landing. Martin probably needs someone to hold the Tyrell-Lannister alliance from falling apart immediately. I can't think of any other characters who an irreplaceable role in the plot, major characters apart. I believe the one character that has the potential to play this part is Margaery, that is keep things together in King's Landing for a while longer. Eta the other that is possibly irreplaceable is maester Aemon. There are various aspects of the plot and particularly threads that have been previously unconnected that only he could bring together.
  3. The Sleeper

    Tyrion Counsel to Aegon (Young Griff)

    Apart from Tyrion being Tyrion, it was a thorough lesson in distrust. Not only does he tell Aegon to his face. He makes a demonstration as well. It is also a lesson about assumptions. What he says about Dany being suspicious of Aegon is something to at least being considered. I don't believe that Tyrion actually wanted to turn their course. After all the Golden Company is simply not enough and Dany was Aegon's best chance at legitimacy. I think he was auditioning for becoming Aegon's proverbial little devil on the shoulder, gaining some influence and trying to make things so that he was a councilor of an independent party rather than an offering to Dany. Half of his strategy worked. The Aegon has chosen a path independent of Dany.
  4. The Sleeper

    Blackfyre Heritage Reveal Predictions

    I suppose it is impossible to prove it one way or another, unless someone finds the corpse of the actual Aegon, which could might be identified by some artifact, or unless Varys confesses. I can't think of a way to prove he is Aegon.
  5. The Sleeper

    Undermine baelish

    Gut him in an alley after his rounds at the brothels. No need to get philosophical about it.
  6. The Sleeper

    Renly was a dummy

    Their original plan was to marry Margaery to Robert, not Joffrey. After all Robert was in his mid thirties, he might have been expected to rule for decades yet. And their contact in the court was Renly. Basically the idea was to supplant the Lannisters at court. They were prior to the war rivals. The conditions where the marriage happened was after the Lannisters found themselves with the back against the wall and Renly got shadow-babied. They had aspirations to the court prior to the war and Renly was the vehicle. We don't know whose idea it was, but the goal was already in place and the Lannisters were obstacles. And there was no hostile army or navy in Tumbler's Fields. And the Kingswood is still on the wrong side of the Blackwater, which was why Stannis committed his entire river so that he could cross. Let me put it another way. Suppose Renly lived and he wants to cross the Blackwater. A patrol or scout spots him and when he tries to cross he finds on the opposite bank Tywin's forces butchering his troops as they made landing, those at least whose barges have not been sunk by the Lannister fleet. In truth there was not much he could be sensibly doing.
  7. The Sleeper

    Renly was a dummy

    Olenna thought it was too much trouble. Mace probably didn't. Regardless of what personal fondness there existed, saying they had no other reason is not true. Ambition is a pretty good motive. Personally, I think Loras liked Renly a lot and didn't care about politics, while conversely Mace was in it for his ambition and couldn't care less about his sons boyfriend other than as a vehicle to get more power. Besides, the Tyrells were virtually absent from the court prior to the war.
  8. The Sleeper

    Renly was a dummy

    With barges. While the Lannister and royal fleets were neutralized and there was no one on the other side to resist the crossing. Trying to cross with an army waiting on the other side and a fleet patrolling the river is a very different proposition.
  9. The Sleeper

    Renly was a dummy

    Well, there was the Blackwater to cross, which he had no way of doing safely or quickly without a navy. Margaret becoming Queen, positions in the Small Council are pretty good reasons, as they represent a substantial increase in their influence and power outside their regions.
  10. While that seems a very likely outcome, I don't see how Storm's End has anything to do with it.
  11. The Sleeper

    Blackfyre Heritage Reveal Predictions

    I didn't write that it would prove anything. I wrote that it would settle the matter. Aegon practically has "Dany's foil" written on his forehead. Dragon food is his most likely fate. That, or Euron will get his hands on him.
  12. The Sleeper

    Blackfyre Heritage Reveal Predictions

    I think him becoming dragon food will settle the issue conclusively.
  13. The Sleeper

    Could any house BUT house Targaryan rule the 7K

    Probably not. The biggest part of what held the seven kingdoms together after the death of the dragons was the myth of the Targaryens being more than human. It would be very hard for any of the great houses to sustain a hegemony over the others, as they are peers. They would not easily accept one of them to achieve supremacy. If the Baratheons had managed to remain in power for a couple of generations a similar would start to develop for them. But it was not meant to be. Of course Dany and her dragons seem poised to revive the myth in full force. I think I would agree that either Dany rules the seven kingdoms, or they are not viable as a unified political entity, which is questionable to what degree they have been considering the amount of power the great houses have over their territories.
  14. The Sleeper

    The dragontamer and the arrow

    The tattered prince did all of the work in getting Quentyn to the dragons. He procured the masks and the password. If that was his intention he wouldn't need Quentyn at all. Besides he had already been intending to make overtures to Dany. The conspiratorial motive I can think would be, that he saw the incident as an opportunity to reignite the war immediately and prolong his employment and/or force a battle prior to the arrival of the Volantene fleet so that he would have a much greater share of the spoils. All these however have to do more with his agreement to the scheme in the first place. And if he was looking to be on the slavers side, it seems to me that it would have been in his best interest that the scheme worked at least as far as removing the dragons from the city. The arrow seems to be the very obvious answer to fire-breathing monster and understandable panic. That said that the tattered prince agreed to the scheme in the first place might be worthy of some discussion.
  15. The Sleeper

    Davos' breaking point.

    Even if it comes down to a choice between his loyalty to Stannis and the lives of the rest of his children? In Dance, Davos sympathizes with Wyman over the fate of his own son and ponders how far would he go to protect his own children. It is not an unlikely scenario. Suppose his younger two sons become hostages of Aegon? Or someone in the North takes Devan hostage and the price of his life is to betray Stannis. The other aspect is how far Stannis will go and how far Davos is willing to follow him. Stannis was on the verge of sacrificing Edric Storm and Davos was not willing to go along with that. Stannis' circumstances might he looking to become even more desperate in the immediate future. Would Davos still be firmly on Stannis's side if he, for example, chose to sacrifice Shireen?
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