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About Jeor

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    Lord Commander, Night's Watch

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  1. Yes, I think this was where Pakistan really tripped up. When you get a 100+ run lead, you really have to ram it home but Pakistan let England back into the game with their poor second innings and this is where they lost the game. Great job by Buttler and Woakes to guide England to victory.
  2. If England won every time @Hereward expected them to lose, then I'm pretty sure they'd be world champions several times over by now!
  3. Abbas gets an opener LBW, call me surprised. It did look quite high, though...when you get hit on the thigh pad you reckon it would be going over.
  4. Of course! Forgot about Prior more recently. This is shaping up to be a very good Test match. Will be a good day's play today!
  5. Abbas is an excellent bowler for English conditions. Not too quick, but he's accurate and lands the ball in the right places, and he gets just a little bit of nibble and movement off the seam. Sort of like a poor man's Glenn McGrath, although his statistics so far look amazing. This wicketkeeping problem for England has dragged on so many years. If you pick Bairstow and then Buttler for their batting, and they only give you a 30 average, then that's clearly not working. They've had plenty of chances. I still think Foakes should be selected as more of a "pure" keeper and it's not as if they're getting much batting out of the position as it is (plus Foakes' batting record isn't really that bad). Historically, England have probably been a bit spoilt by having Alec Stewart who regularly provided a lot of batting from the wicketkeeper position, and then conversely they might have been scared off wicketkeeping specialists by the Chris Read experience.
  6. NSW is pretty lax to be honest. Everything is still open - pubs, gyms, restaurants, churches, schools, etc - just with restrictions on numbers and enforcing distancing etc. I'm very surprised we've managed to keep track of the virus so far, but all it takes is a couple of mystery cases that spread for things to go very pear-shaped. I think it's only a matter of time before we lose track of the virus and harsher measures are needed. I'm carefully stocking up on a few things to prepare for what I think is an inevitable lockdown, ordering more masks (I have three re-usable as well as about 10 disposable ones in my car, but I think I'll double that just in case) and now you've just reminded me I should get my hair cut...
  7. Yes, Arsenal has become a cup side. The success is fantastic, especially considering the gauntlet that has to be run and the level of competition in the later rounds of the FA Cup, but the lack of league or European success or even the semblance of it is disappointing. I'd happily take the FA Cups, but I expect most fans look to them as a stepping stone or something to tide them over until "proper" success returns to the club.
  8. The lockdowns we've had so far have been relatively light, as @Impmk2 notes. In Melbourne, it was basically no going out of the home unless it's for exercise, caregiving, shopping for essentials or work - but those four reasons could be stretched pretty far (especially the work one). Schools were only partially shut down - older students were still being taught at school (Years 11-12) while the younger years were getting online teaching at home. The lockdown measures just announced are much harder and basically pin people inside their own homes and don't allow movement outside the home except for very strict reasons. It's much closer to the types of restrictions employed elsewhere. In Sydney, we're basically open right now after having been in a stricter lockdown situation before. The strategy is to keep everything open but impose capacity limits and social distancing. So I can still go out to a restaurant with friends (maximum booking of 10 per group, with restaurants having a max of 1 person per 4 metres squared), I still go to work (I'm a teacher though), can still go shopping not just for essentials but for general retail as well, I can have dinner parties at my home (limit of 20) and so on. Life is "normal" except for some people working from home, social distancing measures, and the need to book things in advance. If the Sydney cases creep up, I expect they'll start shutting down high risk businesses again (gyms, pubs and restaurants are allowed to open if they take precautions).
  9. Yes, I think various governments' emphasis needs to be on preventing superspreading events. While some of these events (clubbing, indoor music concerts) are obvious candidates for the axe, there are similar events (indoors, close proximity, lots of talking) that have some social or health benefit as well - in particular, family gatherings, gyms and social sports, and (for some people) religious events. Those three categories have (I think) a high incidence of super-spreading capacity but people are much less happy about them than shutting down the clubbing/concerts.
  10. The million dollar question is whether this stays confined to Victoria or whether an outbreak jumps state borders. I'm actually very surprised that NSW have managed to keep track of it until now when pubs, restaurants and other gatherings have still stayed open.
  11. Word on the street is that Melbourne is going to a New Zealand-style hard lockdown with only supermarkets, petrol stations and pharmacies open. Restaurants takeaway only, and in effect a hard stay-at-home order. I wonder whether they could have waited another week to see whether cases did eventually start coming down, but it sounds like they're going to go hard.
  12. Interesting posts re: the superspreaders. The reason I ask is that it's a fundamental question that could really help control these things, if we know why it is that certain people become superspreaders. I'm inclined to think that it can't just be a behavioural thing; there must be some medical or physiological reason why some people are exponential spreaders while other people aren't. I'm surprised there hasn't been more research done on the issue.
  13. I've also seen lots of the articles that suggest that superspreaders are predominantly responsible for most of the virus transmission. I want to know what it is that makes someone a superspreader; is it simply their behaviour (e.g. the fact that they might be more social, or visit more locations, etc) or is there anything medical that makes someone a superspreader because they carry a higher viral load or something?
  14. The lockdown in Melbourne is working. If there was no lockdown, the cases would be in the several thousands per day by now or more. I think the 700+ spike was also due to a lot of aged care facilities getting everyone mass tested at around the same time, so they were bound to find a lot more cases.
  15. Yes, the raw numbers are "okay" but the fact it's gotten into the aged care system is a big worry as this is where the real tragedies will occur. NSW still clinging on by tracking every case but all it takes is a couple to slip the net and we'll lose control of it. The fact we've hung on for three weeks since the Victorian outbreak is a good sign but we've got to keep it up. The fact the outbreaks are starting to be seen all over Sydney (and not in a few concentrated locations) is a worrying sign.
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