Varysblackfyre321 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 (edited) 58 minutes ago, ThinkerX said: Can't say for sure as my mechanic days are long behind me, but some of those trucks did not sound healthy. That just means it has spunk. Edited May 9 by Varysblackfyre321 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derfel Cadarn Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Russia scavenging parts from washing machines for their chips https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-russia-war-latest-putin-victory-day-counter-offensive-12541713 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Makk Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Ilya Ponomarev claims that the drone attack above the Kremlin was conducted by Russian partisan's that he had personally spoken to and it was to scare Putin into calling off the victory parade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Girkin has now said he believes that Russia cannot win the war and may face defeat, and if the Ukrainian counter-attack is successful, it could happen faster than anyone thinks possible. Prigozhin blew up again today, having secured the ammo reserves he'd asked for, apparently the Russian defence ministry then reduced ammo and resupply runs along the Bakhmut front by something like 90% (according to Prigozhin, so probably a gross exaggeration). One Russian military unit then withdrew, forcing Wagner to fill the gap, and some reports that a second unit further down the line pulled out, leaving a 2km gap in the line that other Russian units struggled to fill. Definitely very sour mood music coming out of the pro-Russian channels. Prigozhin also seems to have reiterated his stance that calling the Ukrainians Nazis is just stupid and absolutely nobody is buying it any more. Arakasi, Ser Scot A Ellison, Winterfell is Burning and 3 others 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Scot A Ellison Posted May 9 Author Share Posted May 9 30 minutes ago, Werthead said: Girkin has now said he believes that Russia cannot win the war and may face defeat, and if the Ukrainian counter-attack is successful, it could happen faster than anyone thinks possible. Prigozhin blew up again today, having secured the ammo reserves he'd asked for, apparently the Russian defence ministry then reduced ammo and resupply runs along the Bakhmut front by something like 90% (according to Prigozhin, so probably a gross exaggeration). One Russian military unit then withdrew, forcing Wagner to fill the gap, and some reports that a second unit further down the line pulled out, leaving a 2km gap in the line that other Russian units struggled to fill. Definitely very sour mood music coming out of the pro-Russian channels. Prigozhin also seems to have reiterated his stance that calling the Ukrainians Nazis is just stupid and absolutely nobody is buying it any more. The single T-34 at the parade has embarrassed them. They keep claiming… repeatedly… that is meaningless when it is pretty obviously meaningful… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derfel Cadarn Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Big Ukrainian counter-attack around Bakhmut https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-05-10-23/index.html Winterfell is Burning, Ser Scot A Ellison, Spockydog and 1 other 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalbear Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Kinda awesome they'd coincide that with the Victory day celebrations. Ser Scot A Ellison and Jace, Extat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorn Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 18 hours ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said: The single T-34 at the parade has embarrassed them. They keep claiming… repeatedly… that is meaningless when it is pretty obviously meaningful… Lack of tanks is part of messaging for the domestic audience, which is more important than the international embarrassment. The message is "we're taking the war seriously, look, all the tanks are in Ukraine". Last year, while Ukraine was successfully pushing back the Russians at Kyiv, Kharkhiv and Kherson, Russian Ministry of Defense was organizing Red Square parades, exercises in Siberia, and tank biathlons, which caused a lot of howling from the "patriotic right". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 (edited) Not 100% confirmed, but Ukraine's Patriots are allegedly in action and scored an impressive first scalp, shooting down a supposedly "uninterceptable" Kinzhal hypersonic missile over Kyiv. The Ukrainian counterstrike is on the southern flank of Bakhmut, apparently the success today was flushing Russian units back across the Siversky-Donets canal (which they crossed a couple of weeks back with heavy losses) and reversing the pincer encirclement around the city centre, where heavy fighting is continuing. ETA: The US has confirmed it now. Edited May 10 by Werthead SeanF and Jace, Extat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 (edited) The UK sending Storm Shadow cruise missiles to Ukraine, which have a range of over 150km, outranging HIMARS, and are air-launched, making them much easier to shoot and scoot. Apparently the UK warned Russia in December that if they continued to hit Ukrainian civilian targets, longer-range weaponry would be delivered to Ukraine. Some indications that the US made similar warnings, with ATACMS on the table. This does have the air of the UK doing a small thing first and then if Russia tries to escalate, America does the bigger thing. Edited May 11 by Werthead Ser Scot A Ellison 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalbear Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 7 minutes ago, Werthead said: The UK sending Storm Shadow cruise missiles to Ukraine, which have a range of over 150km, outranging HIMARS, and are air-launched, making them much easier to shoot and scoot. We literally have missiles named after GI Joe characters? The 10 year old me thinks that's cool as shit and also confusing that we're naming them after COBRA, and the 48 year old me is just baffled. 7 minutes ago, Werthead said: Apparently the UK warned Russia in December that if they continued to hit Ukrainian civilian targets, longer-range weaponry would be delivered to Ukraine. Some indications that the US made similar warnings, with ATACMS on the table. This does have the air of the UK doing a small thing first and then if Russia tries to escalate, America does the bigger thing. I had also heard a few days ago that longer range US munitions were used to hit a major Russian ammo warehouse. Spockydog, Ser Scot A Ellison and Matrim Fox Cauthon 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 1 hour ago, Kalnestk Oblast said: We literally have missiles named after GI Joe characters? The 10 year old me thinks that's cool as shit and also confusing that we're naming them after COBRA, and the 48 year old me is just baffled. I had also heard a few days ago that longer range US munitions were used to hit a major Russian ammo warehouse. The warehouse I think was GLSDB. The US agreed to send those to Ukraine months ago but there's been no confirmed use, leading to the suggestion that either the US hadn't actually delivered yet or - more likely - Ukraine has been stockpiling them for the offensive. Storm Shadow is already in Ukraine (ha) and the UK apparently started delivering them weeks ago, and worked with Ukrainian forces on adapting them to be fired from MiGs, which is impressive going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Anti-Targ Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 7 hours ago, Kalnestk Oblast said: We literally have missiles named after GI Joe characters? The 10 year old me thinks that's cool as shit and also confusing that we're naming them after COBRA, and the 48 year old me is just baffled. I had also heard a few days ago that longer range US munitions were used to hit a major Russian ammo warehouse. Villains usually have cooler sounding names for stuff that's used to kill people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorn Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Ukraine's counterattack near Bakhmut continues, apparently they're gaining ground on the flanks. Bakhmut might end up as mini-Stalingrad, with Wagner as the German 6th Army. Also, if the battle keeps going for another 18 days, Bakhmut will take Verdun's place as the longest continuous battle in history. Ser Scot A Ellison 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Scot A Ellison Posted May 12 Author Share Posted May 12 2 minutes ago, Gorn said: Ukraine's counterattack near Bakhmut continues, apparently they're gaining ground on the flanks. Bakhmut might end up as mini-Stalingrad, with Wagner as the German 6th Army. Also, if the battle keeps going for another 18 days, Bakhmut will take Verdun's place as the longest continuous battle in history. Any lengthy battle is incredibly mournful… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 There's something approaching panic developing across multiple Russian Telegram channels. The Ukrainian Air Force is suddenly hitting Russian positions hard, which they are not accustomed to, and there's been heavy Ukrainian artillery and HIMARS attacks pinpointing and destroying fixed AA. There's also been drones swarming after mobile AA, and some reports of successes in eliminating S300 batteries. Some speculation that Storm Shadow is already being used to clear AA defences and open up more of the Russian defences to air attack. There's also been a Ukrainian push across the Shaytanka River near Novodonetsk, SW of Vuhledar. That puts Volnovakaha in the firing line, where Russia has concentrated some forces. More enticingly, it puts the Berdyansk-Mariupol line under a flank attack. Ukraine has spent considerable time shaping and conditioning the entire SW end of the Russian line across Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts and positioning their troops for multiple avenues of attack that the Russians would be hard-pressed to defend against simultaneously, even with their 70-mile-deep trenchworks (which the Ukrainians could potentially outflank). 2 hours ago, Gorn said: Ukraine's counterattack near Bakhmut continues, apparently they're gaining ground on the flanks. Bakhmut might end up as mini-Stalingrad, with Wagner as the German 6th Army. It looks like the Ukrainians have been doing a lot of their trademark being successful and being caught off-guard by how successful they're being (because they refuse to believe how shit the Russians are being), and are suddenly rushing forces forwards to exploit their success. Apparently the big concern is the Russian supply route into the SE of the city, which is coming back under Ukrainian fire control. Quote Also, if the battle keeps going for another 18 days, Bakhmut will take Verdun's place as the longest continuous battle in history. It's highly arguable, especially versus sieges (so far Bakhmut has nothing on the Siege of Sarajevo), but for continuous ground-slogging engagements, quite likely. Ser Scot A Ellison 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toth Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Today I put aside a girl from one of my classes that I think I mentioned before. Essentially the only Russian student I have at the moment who... is very firmly pro-"Russia" in this war with no other reasoning that she feels she has to because her family is Russian and she has relatives in Crimea. Before that I had only one Dagestani boy who was more like "Haha, look at all the Russia sucks memes!". But since I'm intending to now feature the Ukraine war in our politics lessons I wanted to tell her that it isn't my intention to corner her, but at the same time wanted to tell her that I'm very concerned about how defensively she approaches... all political topics, really. I know this is extremely incidental and can't be used to explain Russian expats in general, but on the other hand I found it... oddly interesting how she behaves and can't help but wonder how much of that comes from stuff she picked up at home. So basically her go-to kneejerk reaction is that... she states she simply knows nothing whatsoever about history and politics. But she uses that also as a shield to not engage with anything either. The task is to simply describe Weimar Republic election posters? She doesn't know the symbolism of anything, so she can't even describe what she's seeing. It's all pointless to her, so she just completely blocks and gives up. Today we had political cartoons. A guy trying to hand out flyers but nobody is around and all the flyers lie on the ground? She doesn't know what idea that situation tries to convey, so she won't even describe it. Of course we previously had a situation where the Ukraine war was metioned. She very hesitantly interjected that Russia had every right to invade because the people there want to be annexed, which prompted another girl she is friends with to give a whole barrage of well put reasons why that's bullshit. The Russian girl sheepishly admitted that she actually doesn't know anything other than what's she vaguely picked up from home and ceded the point. I got the impression that she really, really, really doesn't want to get put into a spot where she has to argue with her friends and she today in our talk confirmed it to me that she fears that she's going to get into trouble with them because her opinions are totally opposite. She however still claimed she truly doesn't have any common knowledge whatsover, only opinions and nothing else. So I explained to her that the main purpose of our lessons isn't to pick a side to root for, but instead to understand why conflicts happen, how we can understand actors and use that knowledge to anticipate world events and argue what channels can be used for peace and what limitations there are on those. So I really need her to at least look at facts and engage with them. I hope that got through to her. In any case, I found it quite... troubling to see how she wasn't displaying the apathy or even the entrenched rabid jingoism that I had somehow expected, but instead an extremely stubborn refusal to engage with anything remotely political. Ser Scot A Ellison 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zorral Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 15 minutes ago, Toth said: n any case, I found it quite... troubling to see how she wasn't displaying the apathy or even the entrenched rabid jingoism that I had somehow expected, but instead an extremely stubborn refusal to engage with anything remotely political. This is the consequence of a state that has deliberately lied for generations. We're getting there if we can't turn things around, and fast too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThinkerX Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Might be time to think the unthinkable... Suppose, just suppose the Ukrainians extend their offensive well into Russia proper and capture a major metropolis or three? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalbear Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 2 minutes ago, ThinkerX said: Might be time to think the unthinkable... Suppose, just suppose the Ukrainians extend their offensive well into Russia proper and capture a major metropolis or three? That's a really stupid idea and unlike Russia Ukraine has not been really big on doing stupid ideas. If it happens there will be nukes used, the Ukrainian support will almost entirely erode, the military supplies will be immediately stopped and we will very quickly see a very hot war. Ukraine doesn't want that. Russia doesn't want that. The rest of the world doesn't want that. Stop with your WW3 hopes and dreams. Ser Scot A Ellison, horangi, Padraig and 2 others 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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