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ThinkerX

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About ThinkerX

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  • Birthday 04/25/1963

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  1. purportedly, the group doing the counting released their final report before starting - maybe. I have seen contradictory claims here. What intrigues me is - 1 - the possibility these fool counters will screw up so badly they get arrested; and 2 - that despite their best efforts this new count does not significantly alter the results.
  2. The vote count circus in Arizona continues. The process is apparently so badly flawed the Arizona Secretary of State and the Justice Department are sounding concerns. In the comments, Conservative posters appear genuinely baffled by the criticism. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/arizona-review-of-2020-vote-is-riddled-with-flaws-says-secretary-of-state/ar-BB1grC2w?ocid=ob-fb-enus-580&fbclid=IwAR35Ou3QICMv64q--S0XupatyJojrDdgjWBzkpjh_DdLehHx-aIxVgN4whk
  3. you, of all people. should be aware of the democratic party's ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. that said, yes, Biden will get the spending bills - or large chunks of them passed. however, he is 78 years old *NOW.* Come reelection time...best to have a plan B.
  4. you are assuming Biden will still be in adequate physical/mental condition come the 2024 campaign season.
  5. meanwhile, in actual news, the Facebook Court upheld banning Trump - but punted the final decision back to the company with a six month deadline. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/facebook-ban-hits-trump-where-it-hurts-messaging-and-money/ar-BB1gozOL?ocid=ob-fb-enus-580&fbclid=IwAR31aTLPv8s8b_ULtrHSo-dXRZ0Hkf1qsxJcVcSVqUlkOz3vEg1TNtzdL3I
  6. nope. No 2nd term for Biden. No Trump 2024, either.
  7. This was well over thirty years ago, and I didn't keep the original calculation - it was, quite literally, done on scratch paper. That said, I added up known oil reserves at the time - had to use everything from magazine articles to newspaper clippings to textbooks (this was before Al Gore invented the Internet). I came up with a grand yearly total for consumption the same way, then figured that consumption increased at something like 2% per year. Then I multiplied it out, year over year, subtracting the amount consumed from the amount in reserve. For the second version - where I assumed some effort at conservation - I reduced the rate of increase in consumption. But even dropping that rate to zero AND adding ten major new oil fields (each double the size of Prudhoe Bay) didn't add more than a couple of decades before reaching the 'everything goes to hell' point. Very simple, very straightforward calculation. These days, there are multiple, much more sophisticated versions all over the internet.
  8. I ran a back of the envelope calculation on oil reserves back in the 1980's. Couldn't quite believe what I was looking at: basically the numbers said we were going to be screwed big time circa 2025 - 2030. Ran them a second time, allowing for some really big oil discoveries, conservation, and whatnot. Still couldn't push the time of reckoning much past 2040-2050. Kept tabs on this issue on and off since those days. Realized I'd screwed up in a few places. Didn't allow for the likes of the oil-tar sands in Canada, or for the whole energy efficiency thing taking off to the extent it did. On the other hand, I way underestimated the industrial growth in China and India. On balance, though, the time frame in the revised version of my original calculation is probably pretty close: come 2040-2050 we got serious problems. There is no full replacement for fossil fuels that will keep civilization going 'as is.' Alternatives - including 'biofuels' - can keep things going, but at a reduced energy allotment from what we now have. Large scale nuclear power - not happening. I see the middle and outer reaches of suburbia going away because of energy and transport issues, becoming a realm of retirees, richer folks, and criminals. (already happening hereabouts) I see a huge number of solar powered appliances taking off big time. Airline travel will go into decline. Fresh fruits and veggies from far away lands will become scarcer or more expensive at the grocery stores. The entire mainline railway system in the US needs to be expanded, double tracked, and electrified.
  9. DeSantis takes a stand to defend free speech against the machinations of evil social media giants. I figure this can of worms has a fair shot of reaching the Supreme Court. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ban-trump-not-so-fast-florida-is-about-to-pass-a-law-to-stop-facebook-and-twitter-from-censoring-politicians/ar-BB1gf8hp?ocid=ob-fb-enus-580&fbclid=IwAR2Pjv1YNMf3d-Z60TAZg8PEL50G7kLc_pmJF82G0o2E0_S3Tyhm3Aexcz4
  10. That'd be Rudy. Right wing types are getting freaked out over the FBI investigation into Rudy's role in the whole Ukrainian fiasco. The smarter ones appear to realize that if Rudy gets convicted for...call it lying about everything Ukraine, then that means Trumps impeachment might actually have been justified - which is totally unacceptable in the far right world. (this is from reading the comments sections of various articles)
  11. got hit with a unwarranted pay cut at work, set up in such a way I can't fight it. Meh. About to go torque my back and other appendages changing out the tires on the one vehicle. Dropped two grand plus into said vehicle a few weeks ago because it needed new brakes - not just the shoes, which is routine, but rotors, calipers, and the actual brake lines - plus the rear brakes needed work. Ouch. The joys of a twenty year old vehicle.
  12. briefly glimpsed today in a right wing newspaper (Epoch Times). A blurb stating that foster parents were receiving government robocall's asking (demanding?) that they take the offspring of illegal immigrants.
  13. remember...one day that will be *President Tucker Carlson*
  14. an improvement of sorts...at triple the normal cost. 'unaccompanied minor' situation is getting downright insane.... https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/biden-administration-converts-oil-field-man-camp-into-shelter-for-migrant-children/ar-BB1g1MUU?ocid=ob-fb-enus-580&fbclid=IwAR1iFDCPAyqual5GoySZJ7gzB0rc-rm3HHGehPV7V5Tyjyvb-NDEjns5Ry0
  15. Update of sorts on the bizarre Pentagon Internet...case...for want of a better term. The company connected with the IP addresses looks to be a sham, a shell run by a spam artist...maybe. I keep expecting Trump flunkies and maybe Russians to materialize out of cyberspace on this one.... https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/the-big-pentagon-internet-mystery-now-partially-solved/ar-BB1g0vwF?ocid=ob-fb-enus-580&fbclid=IwAR2AOiC-OteoPMLKaOTgQ9TK_5I5fSXwPQJuzKBK628U1_vXgkHbnRuq3Eg
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