Jump to content


  • Content Count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

About Padraig

  • Rank
    Once Pod

Contact Methods

  • AIM
  • MSN

Profile Information

  • Gender

Previous Fields

  • Name

Recent Profile Visitors

14,202 profile views
  1. The 400m race was insane. The Norwegian said he would have been on a flight home if he was told the time the American would run before hand. The Swedish polt vaulter was close to breaking a world record also. And the American 800m race looks really strong too. A lot of impressive results. I always think Ireland should do better at showjumping, given the horse industry here. We a actually did very well today but besides qualifying, have to start all over again. And congrats to Simone Biles!
  2. Yes. After that fall, amazing stuff. She is going for a unique triple (1500, 5000 and 10000m). And yes, Elaine Thompson looks very very strong. Ireland never do particularly well at the Olympics. So it was great when one of our boxers won a bronze a few days ago. But he injured his ankle when celebrating. So he had to pull out of his silver medal fight. Congrats I suppose!
  3. I'd be cautiously hopeful. Canada has delayed this wave, which has allowed it to get the vaccination rate quite high. That level of vaccination is not going to stop COVID but hopefully you'll avoid the kind of waves that have afflicted other countries. I'd agree on boosters also. But, I think that argument is being lost. Countries are formulating their plans. Here is the leaked German plans. The UK have their own. Ireland too. I'm sure there are many more. Most plans seem to be focused on elderly and front line staff but one could easily see that expanded. So yes. Very difficult times for most of the world.
  4. But if I understand Cas correctly, the US isn't tracking diagnosed breakthrough cases (unless they are hospitalised or died). That's crazy. Knowing the likelihood of such cases seems very important. One could compare to European countries but restrictions should also reduce breakthrough cases. The UK might give a good indication in the coming weeks I suppose, as they have removed restrictions. It is a horrible lottery to win. When they talk about most cases arising in those that have pre-existing conditions, I wonder is that the same for those in these hospitals? But presumably there are regular testing in hospitals, so they would capture all breakthrough cases? Israel is going forward with a booster shot for over-60s.. It will be interesting to see whether that changes things there. I really hope they aren't required, as too much of the world hasn't had 1 shot yet. But they did start their vaccination campaign earlier than everyone else. China does it right here I suppose. It mass tests whole cities.
  5. I was curious enough to read about that. https://abc7news.com/coronavirus-outbreak-san-francisco-general-hospital-sf-covid-ucsf/10920805/ 35k people. American hospitals are supersized! But COVID situation seems reasonably normal.
  6. Fair. Like when we replaced the Olympic Council of Ireland with the Olympic Federation of Ireland in 2018 because the former was seen as corrupt. It is very difficult to reform huge international organisations. FIFA, the UN, IMF etc. Is there a major international organisation that has a huge amount of respect? Ignoring charities and medical agencies. But even the WHO gets criticism. I don't actually see that reputation issue as a solvable problem (given the huge variety of countries involved), although we must constantly work at improving the situation. But yes, if the IOC really did lose the run of itself, a complete reformation may be the way to go. We will always want an event like the Olympics (assuming other factors are not preventing it). (I see reforming rules around how an event is held far easier to manage) And actually, maybe spreading the Olympics around the world would be seen as one solution. But I really would see that as an act of complete desperation. The Euro's were only spread around Europe because no host emerged given the financial crisis at the time. I would largely agree with A Horse Named Stranger that the Olympics would lose something major (to me part of the huge charm of the games is to get athletes, supporters, the host city all in the same place, interacting having fun and getting to know each other etc). I don't particularly care about the TV viewer, even if TV generates a lot of money. Hah! Indeed.
  7. I already answered this. <<unlike climate change, its going to be very binary about whether anyone is interested in hosting the event>>. Context is important when trying to make comparisons. Interesting. I wouldn't be surprised if France was trying to spread the Olympics across its territorities also. Probably a few factors involved. Well that's crazy talk.
  8. Hopefully! I did see the Fauci is hinting at full FDA approval in August. That should help, as you say. I do find it interesting that Israel is going for boosters for those over 60. But hopefully that is because of an overabundance of caution. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/29/delta-variant-israel-to-give-pfizer-covid-booster-shots-to-elderly-.html
  9. Hah. The IOC may not reform itself to your satisfaction but it just has to reform itself enough to ensure cities continue to be interested in hosting the event. Sure, you can say that humans do stupid things all the time. And the IOC could do stupid things but unlike climate change, its going to be very binary about whether anyone is interested in hosting the event. Besides, you can't talk about how crafty the profitmakers are one minute, and then suggest they are stupid enough to kill their golden egg the next. You are overplaying your hand on the corporate entity side though. Its public officials that have to give the games the go ahead. That is why they can be stopped. (I know, corruption etc. But you are still overplaying the hand. There are limits to what they can do). And I would be very surprised if the people who organised the Tokyo Olympics are put in the same boat as Montreal. You'd have to be pretty mean to blame them for COVID! I should mention that talking about profits is challenging. An Olympics can also allow roads, public transport etc to be invested in. These do profit everyone. And if you can keep sporting facilities in use after the games, they can also result in a continuous source of income for the cities. It is when they are not used that we have major difficulties. Like a lot of things, the story is more complicated than some can suggest.
  10. The CDC says that there is an 8-fold reduction in disease (and a 25 fold reduction in hospitalisation and deaths). Thus, if people get vaccinated, they are much more unlikely to get the disease. If they don't have the disease, they can't pass it on. Delta might change that a little but I doubt an 8 fold reduction will dissappear. Thus, there is a logic to a mandate. Sure, if they do get the disease, they may be as likely to pass it onto others, but that's less important (although unfortunate). Why only one? If more people don't get vaccinated, you are depending on most people becoming permanently (or for years anyhow) immune via contracting the disease. That doesn't seem likely. We've already had reinfections. And if vaccines also lose effectiveness, you are also depending on people getting boosters. Will everyone who is vaccinated get another? With the amount of false news floating around, who knows! The US is facing the possibility of permanent rolling waves (IMO). I'm surprised there isn't more discussion about the long term consequences of the current situation there. (Or i'm missing it). Somewhat related, we've heard since the beginning that people with prior conditions are much more likely to end up in hospital and die from COVID. And now, probably not surprising, breakthrough infections are more likely for people who have prior conditions. I'm not sure has there been a major study on breakthough conditions but I do wonder how the odds have changed for such people. Will a third dose help? I know Israel is looking at that. And it might help but I don't think it will be enough. People's refusal to get vaccinated is really leaving others exposed. The mask issue just adds to it. It is such a small thing that could help things a lot if enough people used them. In Europe at least there are signs that the case rate is flattening again (helped by restrictions). But its hard to know whether there will be another explosion. Some countries haven't been hit by Delta significantly yet.
  11. Wow. I didn't even know Tahiti was part of France. I had to get more info. Apparently Tahiti has world renowned waves. And the athletes can come to Paris after the competition if they wish (and stay in the athlete's village). There were venues on the mainland that were interested in hosting the event but I suppose if you want to give the athletes a chance against the best waves...there is logic there. And presumably the French wanted to involve all parts of their country in the competition (and spread the investment). https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1091410/tahiti-approved-ioc-paris-2024-surfing So ok, Paris at least is taking advantage of the rule changes.
  12. They actually are supposed to be doing this. The below quote was included in a link from earlier. Now, i'm not sure whether cities are taking advantage of this. LA and Paris probably wouldn't need it. And I wouldn't know the geography of Japan well enough to know whether they have spread events around. Certainly not the biggest anyhow. That sounds fair. While I was aware of the LA situation for years, I was a little surprised by the other figures. I thought somebody would add more info. But its the kind of reforms that have been suggested here is why I'm confident that the Olympics will be fine. It is in the IOC's interests to make it worthwhile for bidders to emerge. So they will ensure it keeps on happening. Which should be good for future host cities, as they are less likely to be foisted with debt and good for athletes, as there will always be a desire for the best of athletes to compete with each other. Yes. I'd agree with this. Every event has their own World Championship already, scattered all over the place (although, obviously not on at the same time). We don't need another one of those. The Olympics is supposed to be a celebration of some of our best and boldest. In our cynical times (when mediocrity can be celebrated), it is difficult for anything to be viewed positively but the idea remains a fine one.
  13. I imagine he is looking at the day on day trend (i.e. today v yesterday, where numbers are up), rather than the week on week trend (today v same day last week, which is far better and does show a strong decline). It will be interesting to see what happens to France now. They were in the second wave and are still on a growing case trajectory. So if they start falling in the next 2 weeks too, then Europe will probably avoid a very bad wave (assuming the Dutch, the Portugesse, the UK continue to improve). At least this summer! Thankfully, fatalities haven't escalated either so far. Canada seems to have proved that COVID may not be as bad as feared. There cases have never stopping declining. I'm very impressed. I wonder are other countries trying to figure out what happened there, since there is not a huge gap in vaccinations. The US remains the exception too. Given its vaccination rates.
  14. Well yes, I think that is the focus these days. On cities that have most (if not all) facilities already in place. Given globalisation, I think the sponsorship issue is less of an issue but sure, useful. (Wikipedia does claim that other cities post-LA also made profits). That does mean that the Olympics are more likely to be in mega cities like Tokyo and LA. But obviously Brisbane can manage it too. But Australians do love their sport, so they must have a lot of facilities in place too. The IOC will certainly hope for better luck in Paris and LA (after Rio and Tokyo). But I really don't think it will be costs that stops the Games. OTOH, you just have to read the news to see many other threats. But if those lead to the Olympics been stopped, we'll have way bigger worries to deal with. Its an interesting story for the media though. Zorral, I imagine everyone on this board supports Simone Biles.
  15. Didn't Los Angeles in 1984 make a profit? And a number of Olympics since then have made money too. I think people should be careful about reading history with today's perspective. Historically, nobody expected to make money from hosting an Olympics. As Varys said, it was the prestige. Bringing people from all over the world to your city and celebrating your city/country, as well as some of the best of human achievement. I doubt World Fair's made money when they were huge either. Los Angeles woke the world to the idea that the Olympics could make money but also mass tourism changed the dynamics. Bringing people to your city/country was no longer unusual. Even TV changed things. We had travel programs, documentaries and movies showing the world your city. There was less need to host the Olympics as a mass marketing device. The cost kept going up and then sustainability became more prominent. But there was still some very embarrasing stories. Greece wanted to host the Olympics for sentimental reasons. Understandable but it was a bad idea. And Brazil wanted to prove that it was on the same level as Western countries. Unfortunately, it proved the reverse (or was at the same level as Western countries in the worst of ways). After that, the Olympics would have wished that Tokyo would be a huge success (like London) but it didn't work out that way. Now using Tokyo as a platform to suggest that reforms have failed is a bit ridiculous. Clearly COVID-19 dwarfs the effects of everything else. Not that there wouldn't be some learnings from it. But I wouldn't base the future on it. The Winter Olympics are going to have a difficult ride though. Overall though. No city is forced to host the Olympics. You may suggest that all these major cities like London and LA are deranged but we're just random people on the internet.
  • Create New...