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Maithanet

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About Maithanet

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    Inoffensive, but mostly useless
  • Birthday 08/17/1982

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    Washington, DC

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  1. Maithanet

    NFL 2019: Wild Card, Mitches!

    Snyder making a withdrawl and letting the "football people" make decisions is something that has been rumored over and over again. But the fact that Bruce Allen is still the team president (and GM in all but name) is indicative that Snyder is still calling the shots. Allen has been every bit as terrible is Vinny Cerrato before him. But Allen and Snyder are drinking buddies, and Allen carries out Snyder's wishes, so he stays. You know who got fired instead? Scot McCloughan - who got into a power struggle with Allen and then had a PR hit job put out on him before being fired. Also fired last month was Brian Lafemina, a former NFL exec who was going to help rebrand the team to sell tickets and negotiate a bidding war between DC, VA and MD for stadium rights. But apparently Allen (or is it Snyder?) didn't like how he was doing things, and fired him less than 8 months into the job. These new Redskins? Same as the old Redskins. Unless you're thinking of the old Redskins as in the 1980s and early 90s competent Redskins. These new Redskins are very, very different.
  2. Maithanet

    NFL 2019: Wild Card, Mitches!

    I have never heard that. All the Inside Washington talk is that Snyder is very focused on winning, he is just not willing or mature enough to give up the fantasy football things that he likes about being a team owner. He likes schmoozing with the star players. He likes wining and dining potential star coaches. He dislikes letting other people have complete control of "his" team even when his management has driven the team from being a first tier organization when he bought it in the mid-90s to being the kind of organization sportswriters make fun of (and rightfully so).
  3. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    Let's not get crazy, they almost assuredly have not found anything of the sort. What they have is an anonymous account from someone who lives on the border that she has "seen" prayer rugs. But you'd think that if these rugs really existed, there would be photographs of them, or the actual rugs in storage somewhere? Trump isn't trying to scare you with prayer rugs. He's trying to scare you with imaginary prayer rugs.
  4. Maithanet

    NFL 2019: Wild Card, Mitches!

    I agree with most of this, although I was pretty unimpressed with Mike Shanahan. He wasn't put in a position to succeed, that is true, but he also made some really egregious decisions of his own. Not that I expect a non-biased account from his son. But the broader point, that in the Snyder era, Washington has had several very good coaches, assistant coaches, personnel people and quarterbacks. None has brought sustained success, and most left with their reputations in tatters. The one uniting thread of 20 years of failure is Dan Snyder.
  5. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    O'Rourke's main appeal, IMO is charisma. Which is almost by definition intangible, but it seems to be what people really like about him, that he seems like a guy (like Obama) that the Democrats could fall in love with. Personally, I'm not a big O'Rourke guy, but if he convinces enough of the primary electorate to vote for him, that would actually go a long way towards changing my mind. His policy positions are pretty vague and largely acceptable to me, which is very similar to Obama 08, and in many ways is an advantage when running for President.
  6. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    He did quite well in NY (and New England) in the primaries. So Republican New Yorkers seemed to like him.
  7. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    A WaPo editorial brought up something I had forgotten, which is that Cohen habitually recorded his conversations, including conversations with Trump. No way of knowing if this particular conversation was recorded, but it could be. If such a tape exists, that would definitely make explaining things a bit harder for Trump.
  8. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    Being from the midwest undoubtedly helped Obama. Yes, Illinois isn't as good as being from Wisconsin or Michigan, but it still helped. Obama certainly wouldn't have won Indiana in 08 without commuters from Chicago (not that he needed it).
  9. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    It is true that I don't think there's a ton of appetite for moderation in the Democratic party. But there are a ton of liberal and very liberal candidates to split the vote, and comparatively fewer moderates. And there is a lot of appetite for electability, so I think that a relatively moderate governor who pivots a little to the left but hammers a message of "We can return to normalcy, I know how to get things done" could win. Such a candidate might be able to pull off a surprise win in Iowa and Nevada, given how split the field is, and that would immediately propel them into the first tier. Bullock is a long shot, I totally admit that, but I think that being a governor might be really advantageous vs being one of a dozen senators running for office. Congress is super unpopular, which makes me think running a "Washington Outsider' campaign could work. Of the first tier people, really only Beto has that option, and somehow I think "Two term Montana governor" is a little more impressive than "barely lost a Senate race to Ted Cruz". IMO the biggest impediment for someone like Bullock is just whether he can break through the crowd and get noticed. If he can establish himself in the top 5 or so choices, I think he'd have a real shot.
  10. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    I thought the DNC said that they explicitly weren't doing that, and would instead randomly split candidates into A and B groups for two debates which will happen on consecutive days. Presumably they'd do a reshuffling after each pair of debates, and maybe they'll do an A/B tier later on once polling is a little better. Bullock struck me as the best of the western governors, since he won reelection in a very red state, he's young, reasonably handsome, and in the little bit I've heard him speak, he sounds like a decent speaker/person. Obviously he's a long shot since virtually nobody has heard of him, but if he can increase his profile enough that he's taken seriously (is he charismatic enough to do that?), I think there's a lot to like about him as a candidate.
  11. Maithanet

    US Politics: Shutbound & Down

    Some of the Democratic frontrunners are going to turn into a pumpkin one way or another and just fall apart. That is, IMO, the most important way of gauging who is "electable", is who can handle the heat of a national campaign and continue to push their message. If I were picking the candidates that I think are most "electable", I'm not judging who I like the most, but who I think other people will like the most. But I'm only an authority on who I actually like. That's the funny thing about electability arguments. Nonetheless, I still consider electability to be the most important factor in my decision. In my totally biased opinion, I'd rate it the following: More electable: Harris, Klobuchar, Booker, Beto, Bullock Less electable: Biden, Sanders, Warren, Gillibrand, Brown, Inslee, I don't know enough about them: Castro, Hickenlooper, lots of others
  12. Maithanet

    NFL 2019: Wild Card, Mitches!

    Expecting them to sack Brady in the first second is asking a lot. And since there was always someone open 5 yards downfield, Brady didn't need to wait longer than that.
  13. Maithanet

    NFL 2019: Wild Card, Mitches!

    Both Chicago and Baltimore played reasonably well on defense, but as a team they didn't play well. They both lost winnable games at home. KC definitely has the worst defense of the remaining teams, although they might be getting a little better with guys coming back from injury. We'll see if they can replicate that, but with the ungodly cold temperatures this weekend, I could easily see KC winning that game with a score like 30-24.
  14. Maithanet

    NFL 2019: Wild Card, Mitches!

    For whatever reason, the best defensive teams really didn't play well in the playoffs (Chicago and Baltimore especially). In addition, all four championship teams had their defenses playing one of their best games of the year in the playoffs. KC is the most obvious example, but the Saints held Philly scoreless for the final 3 quarters, and both NE and LAR got enough stops to win.
  15. I assume "managed" no deal means a no deal that Britain has some time to prepare for, just as Macron is doing now in France. No deal is going to be a mess no matter what, but a few months to prepare could at least mitigate some of the biggest problems.
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