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About Ormond

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    Omaha, Nebraska
  • Interests
    Besides ASOIAF:Given names, their usage and history

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  1. CNN's graphic just now also had a picture of the Campbell's CEO, so evidently it was up to 8.
  2. In reply to ThinkerX a few pages ago: A President can only pardon someone for FEDERAL offenses. This guy is surely going to be tried first in the Virginia state courts for murder, and if he is convicted the person who could then pardon him is the governor of Virginia, not the President. It is quite plausible that he could also be tried for federal civil rights violations. However, this is not one of those cases (such as where the perpetrator is a police officer) where it is likely that an offender would be acquitted in the state courts and then convicted of civil rights violations in the federal courts. So even if Trump pardons this guy for any federal civil rights conviction, he will almost surely still be in a Virginia prison for a very long time.
  3. As was expressed on NPR, the Charlottesville events are actually going to result in more Confederate monuments being removed much sooner than they would have been otherwise. And I just an hour or so ago ran across the fact that the statue of General Lee in Charlottesville is not going to be destroyed. It isn't going to be taken outside of Charlottesville. It's not going to be hidden away in storage or even put in a museum. It's going to be transferred from a small park downtown to a larger park on the north side of the city, still easily available for anyone in the public who wants to go look at it. And the white supremacists thought that was enough to descend from all over the country on that one small Virginia city.
  4. Here's today's column. Debra Paget is a great example of someone who's mostly forgotten today who had a bigf impact on baby names during her brief period of fame. http://www.omaha.com/living/evans-once-big-deborah-had-a-fall-from-grace/article_7afabd43-db78-5c5f-b513-38dcc4d23b65.html
  5. All of the above are definitely wrong. But they are not "self-evidently" wrong. You do need to have some education in science to understand why creationism, anti-vaxxism, and climate change denial are wrong. There is nothing about them that makes them clearly wrong without any explanation having to be given, which is what "self-evident" manes.
  6. I would just like to add my voice in agreement with your positions.
  7. That seems to be an unwarranted assumption. Just because others don't mention answering polls doesn't mean they don't do it. I almost always am willing to talk with pollsters (the main exception being when they call when I am on my way out the door for work or another scheduled event.) Over three decades ago I worked one summer for the University of Michigan consumer confidence survey, so I try to be accommodating to those who've been hired to do this work.
  8. Coming down hard on Yukie? I thought I was coming down hard on Trump. I am not criticizing Yukie's writing ability, just pointing out some places where his satire is a bit further from reality than others.
  9. Do you really think that Trump has ever used a toaster or a microwave himself? Certainly he's had some sort of servant or flunky to do that for him. And it's highly unlikely he has a "next door" neighbor at all, (I can't imagine his apartment in Trump Tower doesn't cover at least an entire floor) so kicking the barking dog is also not something they have to worry about.
  10. The government did not start keeping a list of baby names in 1880. The lists are created from Social Security records. 1880 is the earliest birth year that Social Security has enough records from to create a good national list. (The Social Security act was passed in 1935 and the first monthly payments to a retiree were in 1940.) It was not possible to create a baby name list from Social Security records until after 1987, when the IRS first required those filing income tax forms to provide a social security number for all dependents, including infants. Before then many if not most people did not get a social security number until they took their first job. (For that reason, some of the data on names before about 1975 needs to be taken with a grain of salt, since many people born earlier may have entered the social security system with a form of their name which is not actually on the birth certificate. For one example, I believe their are many men listed in the early years of the data as "Joe" who were probably "Joseph" when they were born.) In the late 1990s a social security employee named Michael Shackleford decided on his own to write a program that would count up the given names in SSA records. His superiors at the time thought he was crazy. But today the baby name data is one of the most accessed pages on the SSA site. P.S. And here's a link to the Wikipedia page about Shackleford -- he's gone on to bigger and better things as a mathematician. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Shackleford
  11. That's interesting, but there is a problem with using just "panel data", too. Social psychological research has shown that people are much less likely to change their views (or admit they have changed their views) when they have stated them openly in front of others, because they then feel more committed to them. So I would suspect you get respondents to be somewhat less likely to change their party identification when the same pollster is asking them repeatedly, and they KNOW that same pollster is going to be calling up to ask them again. Therefore there's a good chance such panel data may somewhat underestimate the degree of change in party identification in the population as a whole.
  12. Don't pollsters ever ask a question like "Has your party identification changed and if so when?" This would seem to be data that both political scientists and the parties themselves would want to have.
  13. The path of totality goes right though the center of Nebraska --though Omaha is not part of it. Local new media here claim Nebraska is one of the places most likely to have good weather for viewing the eclipse, and most motels in or close to the path of totality have been fully booked for that date for months. Ironically, the eclipse is occurring during the week in the summer when I am always visiting my 95 year old mother in Tennessee. But Mount Juliet, where she and my sister live, is within the path of totality. So if I luck out and Mt. Juliet isn't cloudy August 21, I will see it there. My sister is supposed to be picking up free viewing glasses for me from the local library.
  14. Here's the link to today's column: http://www.omaha.com/living/evans-august-a-name-with-ancient-roots-is-again-in/article_47a8d2db-2ea8-54bf-acdb-422ea7918f58.html I unfortunately made a mistake in the name of the actor who played the title character in "August Rush." It's Freddie Highmore, not Claymore. My apologies to him and his fans.
  15. Way back in 2000 my dear Republican father was a supporter of Lamar Alexander for President and was very disappointed when Bush II was nominated. He thought Alexander had more integrity than most of the other candidates. I'd like to think this shows my father was right.