Jaxom 1974 Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 1 hour ago, Relic said: If he loses he's going to rage for weeks Weeks? Every time he gets on OANN or Fox or talks to the NYT, or whatever, he'll bitch and moan that it was stolen from him. Every time. Even years from now. Stoking conspiracy theories and not allowing the worst of his racist troll followers to crawl back under their rocks so we don't have to deal with them for a while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 Georgia just added another set of votes, and again Biden won more than 2/3rds of them. Trumps lead is just 9k with ~39k votes left. Biden now needs just 62% of the remaining vote to take the lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, DMC said: No it's not. Most of the outstanding ballots in Georgia are from Democratic strongholds and that's obviously not the case in Arizona. Trump is unlikely to maintain the margins he enjoyed to make up ground yesterday, especially with many of the remaining votes coming from Pima. Again Trump’s kept to the rate he needs to win;https://github.com/alex/nyt-2020-election-scraper/blob/master/battleground-state-changes.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ormond Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 1 hour ago, OnionAhaiReborn said: On the New York Times electoral map you can click and see the map with the shift from 2016 represented. Most of Pennsylvania shifted blue, and, I assume, it will only shift further blue as more votes are counted. Thanks, I find that map extremely interesting. Utah and southeastern Idaho showing the big red shift is to be expected with Mormons feeling they have to vote for Trump with Evan McMullin not being in the race. I found Arkansas' complete red shift a bit surprising -- I guess even though she lost the state, there must have been many people in Arkansas who voted for Hillary Clinton as a "favorite daughter" four years ago. It's sad to see most of Iowa shifting red -- though it's quite surprising that the few places there that shifted blue are in the far western part of that state, which is usually the most conservative part. Colorado's complete blue shift would seem to really cement the idea that it is no longer really a "purple" state. Tennessee and North Carolina seem to have their urban and rural areas moving even further apart from each other -- though the several blue shifts in the Appalachian mountain areas of Tennessee and North Carolina make me wonder if more liberal Northern retirees are moving there as they've been doing to coastal South Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, Maithanet said: Georgia just added another set of votes, and again Biden won more than 2/3rds of them. Trumps lead is just 9k with ~39k votes left. Biden now needs just 62% of the remaining vote to take the lead. I have never been more hopeful/terrified in my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 Georgia is looking not terribly relevant for Biden being declared the winner, since it'll definitely go to recount and they'll for sure need to wait until the military/provisional ballots are counted. But I remain reasonably confident that Biden will take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, Varysblackfyre321 said: Again Trump’s kept to the rate he needs to win;https://github.com/alex/nyt-2020-election-scraper/blob/master/battleground-state-changes.txt Trump took the votes he needed from Maricopa county. But not all the votes left to count are from Maricopa, 100,000 are from counties where Biden has stronger returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mexal Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, Fragile Bird said: Trump took the votes he needed from Maricopa county. But not all the votes left to count are from Maricopa, 100,000 are from counties where Biden has stronger returns. There are still more in Maricopa and there is a Dem assumption that the remaining batches will be less Trump. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 7 minutes ago, Maithanet said: Georgia is looking not terribly relevant for Biden being declared the winner, since it'll definitely go to recount and they'll for sure need to wait until the military/provisional ballots are counted. But I remain reasonably confident that Biden will take it. How much would someone have to win by to avoid that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, Varysblackfyre321 said: Again Trump’s kept to the rate he needs to win;https://github.com/alex/nyt-2020-election-scraper/blob/master/battleground-state-changes.txt There are supposed to be updates from Maricopa and Pima tonight. We'll see how it looks after we - hopefully - get those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 Just now, Varysblackfyre321 said: How much would someone have to win by to avoid that? To avoid a recount? I'm not sure, but it's pretty unlikely that either candidate gets there in Georgia. That one is gonna take a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 1 minute ago, Maithanet said: To avoid a recount? I'm not sure, but it's pretty unlikely that either candidate gets there in Georgia. That one is gonna take a while. Any idea when the last batch of votes will be dropped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 1 minute ago, Varysblackfyre321 said: How much would someone have to win by to avoid that? A recount can be requested in Georgia if the margin is 0.5% or less. There are no automatic triggers in Georgia. See here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, DMC said: A recount can be requested in Georgia if the margin is 0.5% or less. There are no automatic triggers in Georgia. See here. Ah thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mexal Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, Maithanet said: To avoid a recount? I'm not sure, but it's pretty unlikely that either candidate gets there in Georgia. That one is gonna take a while. They'll still do what Wisconsin did and call him the "presumptive winner". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 14 minutes ago, Maithanet said: Georgia is looking not terribly relevant for Biden being declared the winner, since it'll definitely go to recount and they'll for sure need to wait until the military/provisional ballots are counted. But I remain reasonably confident that Biden will take it. This relies on the pressumption Biden picks up AZ, or PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveSumm Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 I don’t see anyone report it like this, but for me it’s easier to see the vote share of each candidate as a percentage of the total projected vote total, not as the current total. So for example, in PA, Trump has 50.1% of the current votes, but 47.4% of the projected total once all votes are counted. Biden has 46.1%. And there’s 7% still to be counted. It’s much easier to see with these three numbers (47-46-7) how much Biden needs (to catch up 1% out of the remaining 7%). I should stress this is just an idea and I’ve punched some numbers from CNN into my calculator, and it ignores independents and such so it’s not accurate, but the gap is clearer to me in this format. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OnionAhaiReborn Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, Varysblackfyre321 said: This relies on the pressumption Biden picks up AZ, or PA. PA is basically a lock, unless Trump stops the vote, which does not look terribly likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Scot A Ellison Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 50 minutes ago, BigFatCoward said: Head...spike...wall Technically saying that in the US is a federal crime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalbear Posted November 5, 2020 Share Posted November 5, 2020 So this is weird. Trump hasn't been seen in public in 48 hours. That's weird even for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.