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Ukraine: Breakthroughs… the vast majority of us hope…


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At this point Europe is almost entirely all-in, and the military production of the German and the joint Czech-Slovak weapons factories is ramping up fast, as is the UK's factories in Northern Ireland. Between them, they can keep churning out missiles and shells for the Ukrainians even if the US was to pull out altogether (which wouldn't happen for another sixteen months in the worst case). Obviously the US staying in the game is a massive boon.

Confirmation that Ukraine has hit two airbases deep inside Russia, launching drones from Russian soil. The score is now two Tu-22M supersonic bombers completely destroyed (total airframe loss) and two damaged. That's in total, one of the airbase strikes was the same as one reported over the weekend. Impressive going.

Russia has also ordered its civil servants to work from home on Ukrainian independence day (24 August), fearing a large-scale Ukrainian attack on Moscow. Moscow's airspace was again shut down for a period today after a drone strike was intercepted.

Erdogan is reportedly planning a visit to Moscow and will use his political capital to try to restart the grain deal, having discussed the issue with Middle-Eastern allies and countries in Africa. Erdogan making a big swing here to see if he can convince Putin to back down on those issues. Putin rejecting him might be an extremely bad idea (Turkey's assertiveness against Russia has been growing, but Erdogan has been keen to maintain friendly personal ties with Putin; he might be willing to abandon those to make Turkey the new Big Dog in the region).

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Those Tu-22s are "lost Soviet technology" and literally irreplaceable losses for Russia, much like the cruiser Moskva. The last one of them left the factory in 1993, and they are not currently capable of making new ones. The existing fleet has been constantly shrinking due to age, and it is kept alive by replacing what can be newly manufactured, and cannibalizing spare parts that can no longer be made.

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!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Russia-Ukraine war live: Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin onboard plane involved in fatal crash, Russian Civil Aviation authority say

https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/aug/23/russia-ukraine-war-live-updates-drones-downed-moscow

Also --

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Russia has relieved Gen Sergei Surovikin of his command of the Russian aerospace forces, in the highest-level sacking yet of a military commander after Yevgeny Prigozhin’s abortive mutiny in June.

The extended absence and now removal of Surovikin, a prominent commander, indicates the shock waves sent through the military establishment after Prigozhin’s armed uprising. He sent thousands of troops to seize a military headquarters in the city of Rostov-on-Don and tried to march on Moscow to protest against the dismantling of his Wagner private military company.

Prigozhin’s public support for Surovikin, who was seen as an ally of the Wagner militia in the Russian defence ministry, had raised questions of whether he or other senior commanders had aided the mutiny, or at least had prior knowledge of Prigozhin’s plans.

 

 

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Also, some reports that the USA, UK and several allied countries will formally declare the Wagner PMC a terrorist group in the near future.

Edited by Werthead
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Massive explosion in Crimea. Ukraine took out an entire S-400 system, including missiles, the launcher and radar systems. Some reports that a Bastion anti-ship system (used by Russia in ground attack mode) may have also been eliminated, and forward-operating radar systems in western and southern Crimea.

 

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Nobody is surprised that Putin had him killed.  

I know he does not care about human lives but killing the crew and letting debris rain down s a new level I feel.

This is a message to others who might undermine his rule I guess.

Edit: wrongly assumed that it was shot down over Moscow.

Edited by Luzifer's right hand
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43 minutes ago, KingintheNorth4 said:

Welp, it looks like Putin got his lick back. 

Prigozhin made it very easy for Putin with his apparent frequent visits to Russia though.  The Belarus agreement didn’t seem to be going to plan neither.  

Prigozhin seemed very naive but that word shouldn’t be used against such a man.  Someday we’ll learn what was really going on.

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